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November 1, 2014

Obama beating Romney in Minnesota by 8 points

A new Star Tribune poll shows President Barack Obama widening his lead over GOP challenger Mitt Romney, with Obama drawing 48 percent of likely voters to Romney’s 40, the newspaper reports. The poll shows Romney has an edge with independent voters but Obama has a 20-point lead among women. Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson got 5 percent, with 7 percent undecided.

Another poll released earlier this month showed Obama with a 10-point lead.

Things looked better for Romney in July, when a poll said the Republican had sliced Obama’s lead in half.

RealClearPolitics has some previous polling results in an Obama-Romney matchup in Minnesota.

The New York Times blog, FiveThirtyEight, which tracks election data and offers state-by-state probabilities, says there is a 95 percent chance that Obama will win Minnesota. The blog says Obama has a 77 percent chance of winning nationwide.