Western and south-central Minnesota is in line to get the brunt of an incoming winter storm, while the the Twin Cities is right on the edge, meaning the metro area could be spared from the worst.
A good example of how tight the snowfall cutoff will be on the northeast side of the winter storm watch area is that Minneapolis is in the watch and St. Paul isn't.
Overall, areas within the watch have the best chance to see 5-8 inches of snow before the storm wraps up on Saturday, the National Weather Service says. But a line from St. Cloud through the Twin Cities to Cannon Falls is projected to get less.
The northeast half of the metro could see 1-3 inches compared to 4-6 for the southwest suburbs.
A line from Alexandria through Willmar, Mankato, and Albert Lea are in the heavy snow zone where 6-8 inches is possible.
Winds will also cause difficult travel conditions with gusts up to 40 mph Friday morning through Saturday morning.
The NWS warns that a slight shift in the path of the storm could leave the Twin Cities completely free of snow or put the metro in the bullseye, so stay alert to updates.