Stormy week ahead: Severe threat Tuesday and Wednesday in parts of Minnesota

The threat shifts from north to south Tuesday into Wednesday.
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June and July are Minnesota's most active months for severe storms and parts of the state are in line for severe weather chances Tuesday and Wednesday this week. 

Forecasters from the Storm Prediction Center in Norman, Oklahoma have placed an area of northwestern Minnesota under a slight risk for severe weather on Tuesday, and then much of southern Minnesota, including the Twin Cities, in a slight risk for Wednesday. 

The map to the left is Tuesday's risk and on the right is Wednesday's.

The map to the left is Tuesday's risk and on the right is Wednesday's.

While the Storm Prediction Center is offering up some potentially robust thunderstorms on Wednesday for southern Minnesota, the Twin Cities office of the National Weather Service suggests that severe potential could be much lower if the strong storms from Tuesday night in North Dakota and northwest Minnesota track into the southern part of the state on Wednesday morning. 

If the storms stay further to the north Tuesday into Wednesday morning it will set the stage for a "very unstable airmass" and a "decent severe weather threat, particularly across southern Minnesota" on Wednesday, the NWS Twin Cities notes

As meteorologist Paul Douglas noted in his blog, Minnesota averages 15 tornadoes in June, which is the most of any month. July comes in second with an average of 11 tornadoes while we average five in August. 

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Storms are forecast to stay south of the metro Tuesday.

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If the sun finds a way to come out, nasty storms could develop.

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Large hail and damaging winds are the main threats.

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Another round of storms could develop Friday afternoon and evening.

Large hail, damaging winds possible Tuesday in Minnesota

The severe risk has been increased from marginal to slight.

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The severe threat exists in southwest and south-central Minnesota.

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It's been a pretty quiet June in terms of severe weather.