Biden leads Trump in Minnesota 49% to 40% in KSTP poll

The KSTP/SurveyUSA poll also that Biden voters were far more likely to vote by mail.
Author:
Updated:
Original:

A recent poll of Minnesota voters shows former Vice President Joe Biden ahead of Donald Trump, but gaps between city and rural voters are clear.

According to the poll by KSTP and SurveyUSA, Biden leads Trump 49% to 40% in Minnesota. The poll also examined the Senate race between Sen. Tina Smith and former Congressman Jason Lewis. Smith leads Lewis 47% to 36%.

The poll had a margin of error of 5.2%, and it should be noted the final KSTP poll in 2016 showed Hilary Clinton beating Trump by 49% to 39%. In reality, Clinton beat out Trump in Minnesota by just 1.5%. 

The poll was conducted from Sep. 4 to Sep. 7. 

Other key findings from the poll:

  • Biden is ahead 55% to Trump’s 34% in the Twin Cities and 48% to Trump’s 44% in southern Minnesota.
  • Trump leads Biden 61% to 37% in northeastern Minnesota and 48% to 29% in western Minnesota.
  • A vast majority of voters who will vote by mail say they will vote for Biden at 71% to 16% for Trump. Trump leads in in-person voters, at 59% of those voters to Biden's 32%.
  • The poll also found 7% of voters were undecided while 4% favored other candidates.
  • Biden leads slightly on the issues of the economy, with 45% of respondents saying Biden would be better on the economy and 43% saying Trump would be.
  • Of the respondents, 49% said Biden would keep them safer and 40% said Trump would keep them safer.
  • Biden has a stronger lead among women, with 54% responding they would vote for Biden and 36% responding they would vote for Trump. 
  • For the men polled, 45% said they would vote for Trump and 44% said they would vote for Biden. 

Trump and his campaign have made repeated statements about turning Minnesota red for the first time since 1972. 

Ivanka Trump, Vice President Mike Pence and Donald Trump Jr. have all made stops in Minnesota in recent weeks. Jill Biden also stopped in the Twin Cities Wednesday, while Biden's running mate Kamala Harris held a virtual event with Minnesota DFL leaders.

The differential in voting based on mail voters and in-person voters could have an impact on the initial results on Election Night, with election officials nationwide having warned that the results in particularly close races may not be known for several days as absentee ballots arrive and are counted.

A record number of people expected to vote by mail this year due to COVID-19.

Weather update from Novak Weather

Next Up

PD Shimmers closeup

Man with Parkinson's lights up Plymouth with synchronized light show

"The best medicine I have for my disease is what I try to do with the light show," Mike Justak said.

Screen Shot 2020-11-25 at 7.34.43 AM

Watch: Drunk squirrel in Minnesota captures the world's attention

The squirrel was immediately cut off after nearly tipping over.

Screen Shot 2020-11-25 at 7.15.09 PM

Small town gym refusing to close facing lawsuit from attorney general

The gym is facing a lawsuit and a temporary restraining order to halt their operations.

credit card, payment

Money Gal Coaching: Bouncing back after living your best life

Kelly Blodgett started Money Gal Coaching after paying down nearly $50K in debt in 18 months.

flickr-mall-of-america-mitchell-hirsch-march-2019

When do stores open on Black Friday this year?

Many major retailers will be open Black Friday, some for extended hours.

police tape, crime scene

Man found dead outside home near Cass Lake

The man was reportedly shot outside the property.

Minnesota_Welcome_Sign_-_Minnesota_Welcomes_You_-_Taylors_Falls_(28269804891)

Gov. Walz announces $1M in grants to boost Minnesota tourism

The money will be used for marketing efforts to attract people to Minnesota's hard-hit tourist spots.

coronavirus, ICU

Nov. 25 COVID-19 update: 72 deaths ties Minnesota's single-day high

A COVID-19 update will not be provided on Thanksgiving Day.

Texa-Tonka

Revival to open its fourth Twin Cities location

The fried chicken and smoked meat maestros are moving to St. Louis Park.

Related

Trump biden

New poll shows Biden with a smaller lead over Trump in Minnesota

It comes just days after a Fox News poll showing Biden leading by 13 points.

Trump biden

Poll: Biden leads Trump by 6 points in Minnesota

The poll was a collaboration between Star Tribune, KARE 11 and MPR.

Trump biden

Fox News poll of Minnesota shows Biden with large lead over Trump

Gov. Tim Walz also has a large approval rating, while most Minnesotans show support for face mask wearing.

Screen Shot 2019-10-11 at 7.01.24 AM

Star Tribune poll spells bad news for President Trump in Minnesota

The president had vowed to win Minnesota in his most recent rally.

Screen Shot 2020-11-04 at 9.19.18 AM

Election: How all 87 Minnesota counties voted for Biden, Trump

Biden won Minnesota over Trump by a margin of 1,682,138 votes to 1,452,550.

Trump biden

Walz urges Trump, Biden to comply with COVID-19 guidelines in MN

The presidential candidates will visit Minnesota on Friday.

Joe Biden

Joe Biden confirms he will visit Duluth on Friday

He will visit a union training center.