Skip to main content

Get ready: It's going to be a cold and snowy winter, forecasters say

  • Author:
  • Updated:
    Original:

The farmers have spoken: It's going to be a cold and snowy winter for many in Minnesota.

The Farmers' Almanac and its elder counterpart The Old Farmer's Almanac have released their predictions for this winter. (Yes, there are two different almanacs named after farmers that released winter forecasts this week.)

And for winter-weary Minnesotans, it may not be the best news.

Grab your parka

The Farmers' Almanac – which bases its forecast on sunspots, tidal action, and the position of the planets, among other things – thinks we'll see average snowfall in Minnesota.

But it'll be cold – especially in February.

The 200th anniversary edition of the almanac says frigid temperatures are expected, and northern tier states could see "ambient air temperatures" as low as 40-below. Brr.

The average mean temperature for the Twin Cities in December is 19.7, 15.6 in January and 20.8 in February.

https://www.facebook.com/TheFarmersAlmanac/videos/10153641877966459/

There could be more snow, too

The Old Farmer's Almanac uses a "secret formula" to come up with its forecast, and this year it says it'll be cold and snowy for many of us.

From North Dakota to Maine, the 225th edition of the almanac says there will be below-normal temperatures, while much of the rest of the country will see cold, but still above-average temps this winter.

And for the snow – it'll be considered above-average for much of central and eastern Minnesota. (The average snowfall for the Twin Cities in December is 11 inches, about a foot in January and 7.8 inches in February, according to the Minnesota Climatology Working Group.)

https://twitter.com/almanac/status/765268559366881286

What does the NWS think?

The National Weather Service's Climate Prediction Center also releases long-range forecasts.

In July, it predicted for December, January and February there's a 50 percent chance temperatures will be below average for much of Minnesota. And for snow, the agency says there's an equal chance snowfall this winter is either above average, below average or normal.

So, it's fair to say it's hedging its bets.

So how accurate are these forecasts?

It's not hard to predict Minnesota's winters are going to be cold and snowy, but how accurate are these long-range forecasts?

The Old Farmer's Almanac says its forecasts are traditionally 80 percent accurate, while The Farmers' Almanac says it has predicted a bunch of major weather events accurately over the years.

But keep in mind, meteorologists have a hard enough time predicting the weather for that week, let alone a few months in advance.

"We're really good at the day of and the next day, (and) we're better at temperature a ways out than precipitation. But to forecast out that far in advance ... even the science behind our long-range forecasting is sometimes not that solid," Dave Hennen, senior meteorologist and executive producer for CNN Weather says.

And remember last year's warm-up? The Star Tribune says both almanacs missed that in its prediction, with The Farmer's Almanac blaming the inaccurate forecast on El Nino.

For more information on Minnesota's climate history, click here.

Next Up

monkeypox

Minnesota health officials warn monkeypox cases could grow rapidly

The state has so far confirmed only six cases of monkeypox virus.

291734046_502006195017388_4346404407323115820_n

Bodies of woman, three young children recovered from Vadnais Lake

Authorities say the bodies recovered were those of two boys, one girl and their mother.

Pixabay laptop keyboard phone dark

Charges: Duluth man had hundreds of child porn images, videos

The National Center for Missing and Exploited Children found nearly 330 images on the man's electronic devices.

hennepin county sheriff water patrol lake minnetonka

Scuba diver found dead in Lake Minnetonka identified as 20-year-old

The Hennepin County Medical Examiner's Office said 20-year-old Brady Alan Aune, from Elko New Market, died of freshwater drowning on June 3.

Screen Shot 2022-06-30 at 11.18.35 AM

Felony charges filed after authorities search 'Peacebunny Cottage'

The president of the rabbit rescue non-profit faces multiple animal cruelty charges after over 40 rabbits were found dead inside the organization's barn.

monkeypox virus

Minnesota up to 6 confirmed cases of monkeypox virus

Most people recover at home within 2-4 weeks.

thc edibles

Did Minnesota just accidentally legalize THC?

A Republican lawmaker who voted to approve the new law in May is already talking about rolling it back.

Screen Shot 2022-06-30 at 3.19.42 PM

Gasoline may be cause of sewer explosion on U of M campus

An all-clear was given around 9 p.m. Thursday, with residents in the area allowed to return to their homes.

image

Overwhelming demand for THC products on first day of new law in MN

One shop owner said his Chaska store broke the online sales record before they opened Friday morning.

Flickr - Lake Minnetonka boat - Greg Gjerdingen

Increased drunk boating enforcement over 4th of July weekend

The increased enforcement is part of the Operation Dry Water initiative.

Kayak

Four kayakers stranded, rescued in Chisholm park

The kayakers became stranded at Redhead Mountain Bike Park Thursday afternoon.

SherburneCoJailDrugArrests

Duo charged after 10-pound meth package sent to wrong address

More than 10 pounds of meth are off the street thanks to a delivery error.

Related

Get ready: It's going to be a cold and snowy winter, forecasters say

The farmers have spoken: It's going to be a cold and snowy winter for many in Minnesota.

State officials: Winter's coming – get ready

Monday marks the beginning of Winter Hazard Awareness Week, a state effort to get residents prepared for harsh, dangerous weather ahead. The Minnesota Department of Public Safety is focusing on a range of wintry risks this week. Last year's mild winter may have lulled people into a sense of complacency.