Another winter storm will impact the Upper Midwest this week and the southern half of Minnesota appears to be in line for a healthy amount of snow, though it won't be a blockbuster blizzard like Minnesota had last week.
"Snow is expected to overspread the area Tuesday and Tuesday night, with accumulations in the 3-5 inch range looking likely by Wednesday morning," says the National Weather Service (NWS), noting that locations a winter weather advisory has been issued for much of central and all of southern Minnesota.
According to the advisory, snow totals will likely range from 3-5 inches before tapering off by early Wednesday morning. The snow is forecast to begin in western Minnesota Tuesday morning and spread eastward during the day, likely impacting the afternoon commute in the Twin Cities.
This storm is poised to bring more significant impacts to Iowa and southern Wisconsin, where some 8-inch totals are possible, according to the Weather Prediction Center.
We should note that for some reason, AccuWeather continues to suggest that 6-12 inches could fall, even in Minneapolis. So, that's something to bear in mind, though every other major weather source is in line with 3-5 inches for the metro, though the Twin Cities office of the weather service does give the metro area about a 25% chance of getting 6 inches.
Here's a closer look at forecasted snowfall totals in southeast Minnesota, courtesy of the La Crosse office of the NWS. As you can see, there's about a 30-40% chance of 6 inches falling in Rochester, Austin and surrounding communities.
Here are snowfall ranges for specific locations.
The NAM 3KM computer model guidance shows snow reaching western Minnesota Tuesday morning and then spreading eastward. The darker blues in the simulation indicate heavier snow.
Remember, big changes can occur in short order with weather – as was the case with last week's storm featuring much higher snow totals at the last minute – so be sure to monitor the situation for updates.
We'll have video briefings about the storm from Sven Sundgaard and Novak Weather throughout the day Monday and Tuesday.