MDH announces COVID-19 modeling presentation for Friday

There have been calls for the department to release more details about its models.
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A slide used in Gov. Tim Walz's Stay at Home order presentation on Wednesday.

A slide used in Gov. Tim Walz's Stay at Home order presentation on Wednesday.

The Minnesota Department of Health and University of Minnesota will provide an overview of the models being used to inform the state's response to the coronavirus pandemic on Friday.

There have been growing calls for the release of more details about the model the longer the Stay at Home order continues.

At 11 a.m. Friday, the health department and the U of M School of Public Health "will provide an overview of Minnesota COVID-19 modeling" at a media briefing.

On Wednesday, Health Commissioner Jan Malcolm said that because of the success of social distancing in Minnesota, the projected deaths in Minnesota have been revised down to 6,000 at the low end and 20,000 at the moderate range.

But there has been confusing at the state and national level over the modeling, not least because they follow different timelines.

Minnesota's state-specific model is projecting deaths over the course of an entire year.

However, national models including the oft-cited University of Washington is projecting deaths over a much shorter timeline. This week it revised down its estimates for total deaths in the U.S. to 60,000, but that is only by Aug. 4.

Malcolm will lead the presentation alongside Assistant Health Commissioner Marie Dotseth, and other officials from the health department and U of M.

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