Morning storms prompt severe storm watch in southeast MN

Will storms redevelop Wednesday afternoon?
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storm, shelf cloud, severe weather

A line of intense thunderstorms that is moving through southern Minnesota and northern Iowa Wednesday morning has prompted a severe thunderstorm watch in the aforementioned areas. 

The watch does not include the Twin Cities metro area, but does cover Rochester and surrounding cities in southeastern Minnesota. The watch is in effect until 3 p.m. 

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According to the Storm Prediction Center, storms are intensifying as they move east-northeast and will be capable of damaging wind gusts to 70 mph, scattered large hail to very large hail (up to 2 inches in diameter) and a tornado or two. 

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As of 9:50 a.m., there were no severe thunderstorm warnings associated with the line of storms that was approaching Rochester and locations south and east of the Rochester area. 

There remains potential for storm redevelopment later this afternoon, but the intensity and severe threats later Wednesday will be dependent on how quickly the morning storms exit the area and allow the atmosphere to destabilize. 

Here's a look at the HRRR model, which shows most of the redevelopment happening in northern Iowa. 

13Z-20210714_HRRRMW_prec_radar-0-18-10-100

What's more is that the amount of rain expected to fall in and around the Twin Cities has decreased. At this time Tuesday, computer models were projecting 1-3 inches for the metro, while models are now forecasting less than an inch. Higher amounts, however, can be realized under the strongest thunderstorms. 

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