Skip to main content

Poll: Biden leads Trump by 6 points in Minnesota

The poll was a collaboration between Star Tribune, KARE 11 and MPR.

Despite strong support throughout Greater Minnesota, and multiple visits to the state by President Donald Trump, former Vice President Joe Biden is hanging on to his lead here.

That's the conclusion of a new joint poll by Star Tribune, KARE 11 and MPR, which found Biden leading Trump by six points among likely voters in Minnesota, 48 to 42 percent.

What about the rest? Eight percent fell into the "undecided" column, while "other" accounted for the remaining respondents. 

As the Star Tribune notes, Biden's lead is largely "propelled by strong support among women and younger voters," with his strongest leads showing up in Hennepin and Ramsey counties — the most populous in Minnesota. 

Meanwhile, the poll found that Trump holds "significant leads" in northern and southern Minnesota and "a smaller edge" in the other Twin Cities counties. 

So what reason do Minnesota voters give for backing one candidate over the other?

Per MPR's summary of the data, the poll found the economy and jobs "the most influential issue" for Trump voters, with law and order coming in second.

For Biden voters, racial justice and equity were the priority, "followed by the coronavirus and health care," MPR says. 

Nationally, the numbers also largely skew towards Biden, with a RealClearPolitics average of the polls finding the Democrat with a seven-point lead. Meanwhile, election forecasts from both The Economist and FiveThirtyEight mark Biden as "very likely" to win and "favored to win," respectively. 

However, it's important to note that national polling trends can prove wrong on Election Day, as they did in 2016 when Donald Trump beat Hillary Clinton — who had largely been forecasted to win the presidency. 

Here's a deep dive from Pew Research on why the polls were seemingly far off that year. 

Next Up

Williams Uptown Pub

Williams Uptown Pub & Peanut Bar closes indefinitely after shooting

Reports say police have arrested two suspects in the incident.

Alex Rodríguez

A-Rod wears a Packers hat, Minnesotans lose their minds

The Timberwolves co-owner didn't endear himself to his fan base on Saturday night.

Flickr - Minneapolis police squad - Chad Davis

Police: Man shoots into crowd at funeral reception in Minneapolis

The shooting happened at a reception following a funeral on Saturday afternoon.

Screen Shot 2022-01-23 at 8.37.27 AM

Watch: Jimmy Garoppolo says 'F*** the Packers' after playoff win

The 49ers quarterback congratulated Robbie Gould in spectacular fashion.

Aaron Rodgers

America dunks on Aaron Rodgers after loss to 49ers

The Packers quarterback was destroyed on social media on Saturday night.

Marcus Foligno

Foligno's OT winner gives Wild fans a happy Hockey Day

A slow start gave way to the Wild's fifth win in the past six games.


Winter weather advisory issued as Saturday snow arrives

Not huge totals expected, but any snow will likely impact travel.


Report: Ryan Poles is Vikings' 'top choice' for general manager

Poles was one of two finalists revealed on Friday.

Payton Willis

Willis carries shorthanded Gophers to beat Rutgers

The senior scored a career-high 32 points to end a four-game losing streak.


Trump biden

Biden leads Trump in Minnesota 49% to 40% in KSTP poll

The KSTP/SurveyUSA poll also that Biden voters were far more likely to vote by mail.

Trump biden

New poll shows Biden with a smaller lead over Trump in Minnesota

It comes just days after a Fox News poll showing Biden leading by 13 points.

coronavirus, masks, covid-19

Poll finds majority of Minnesotans support Stay-at-Home restrictions

It was conducted for the Star Tribune, MPR and KARE 11.

Trump biden

Fox News poll of Minnesota shows Biden with large lead over Trump

Gov. Tim Walz also has a large approval rating, while most Minnesotans show support for face mask wearing.

Joe Biden

President Biden coming to Minnesota to promote Bipartisan Infrastructure Law

Tuesday's trip follows passage of the $1.2 trillion Bipartisan Infrastructure Deal.

Screen Shot 2019-10-11 at 7.01.24 AM

Star Tribune poll spells bad news for President Trump in Minnesota

The president had vowed to win Minnesota in his most recent rally.

Minnesotans favor legal marijuana, oppose mining near Boundary Waters

The latest results from an MPR/Star Tribune poll have been released.