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Poll shows drop in Trump, Republican support in Minnesota

But the president's support is more resilient here than in Wisconsin or Michigan.
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A new poll looking at political sentiment in Minnesota has noted falling approval ratings of President Donald Trump and a drop in support for the GOP ahead of November's mid-terms.

The NBC/Marist poll of people in Minnesota, Michigan and Wisconsin gives the president a 38 percent approval rating in Minnesota, with 51 percent disapproving of his performance in office.

This suggests his approval rating has been on the slide in Minnesota. A Star Tribune poll in January of this year gave him a 45 percent approval rating with 47 percent disapproval.

Trump lost Minnesota to Hillary Clinton by 1.5 percentage points in 2016, but one thing in his favor is that his support in Minnesota is more resilient than it is in Wisconsin and Michigan – states he narrowly won.

Wisconsin's approval/disapproval split in the NBC/Marist poll is at 36/52, while in Michigan it's at 36/54.

More worrying in the immediate future for Republican Party is the congressional preference results of the poll.

With the mid-terms just four months away, 48 percent of Minnesotans polled prefer a Democrat-controlled Congress, while just 36 percent want a GOP-controlled one.

That's a 12-point lead in a year in which two Republican House seats are now considered toss-ups.

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Rep. Erik Paulsen's 3rd Congressional District and Rep. Jason Lewis' 2nd District are likely to be tight races this year, with DFL challenges coming from Dean Philips and Angie Craig, respectively.

Only Rep. Tom Emmer, in the 6th District, is considered a safe Republican seat, though the GOP is hopeful of flipping the 8th Congressional District red with Rep. Rick Nolan resigning, and Rep. Collin Peterson's 7th District seat in West-Central Minnesota isn't a certain Democratic win.

Dr. Lee M. Miringoff, of the Marist College Institute for Public Opinion, told NBC that Democratic leads in Minnesota are being boosted by female voters and white voters with college degrees.

Independents still slightly lean Republican in Minnesota, by a single percentage point.

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