Skip to main content
Publish date:

Poll shows drop in Trump, Republican support in Minnesota

But the president's support is more resilient here than in Wisconsin or Michigan.

A new poll looking at political sentiment in Minnesota has noted falling approval ratings of President Donald Trump and a drop in support for the GOP ahead of November's mid-terms.

The NBC/Marist poll of people in Minnesota, Michigan and Wisconsin gives the president a 38 percent approval rating in Minnesota, with 51 percent disapproving of his performance in office.

This suggests his approval rating has been on the slide in Minnesota. A Star Tribune poll in January of this year gave him a 45 percent approval rating with 47 percent disapproval.

Trump lost Minnesota to Hillary Clinton by 1.5 percentage points in 2016, but one thing in his favor is that his support in Minnesota is more resilient than it is in Wisconsin and Michigan – states he narrowly won.

Wisconsin's approval/disapproval split in the NBC/Marist poll is at 36/52, while in Michigan it's at 36/54.

More worrying in the immediate future for Republican Party is the congressional preference results of the poll.

With the mid-terms just four months away, 48 percent of Minnesotans polled prefer a Democrat-controlled Congress, while just 36 percent want a GOP-controlled one.

That's a 12-point lead in a year in which two Republican House seats are now considered toss-ups.

Get the latest BMTN stories on Flipboard.

Rep. Erik Paulsen's 3rd Congressional District and Rep. Jason Lewis' 2nd District are likely to be tight races this year, with DFL challenges coming from Dean Philips and Angie Craig, respectively.

Only Rep. Tom Emmer, in the 6th District, is considered a safe Republican seat, though the GOP is hopeful of flipping the 8th Congressional District red with Rep. Rick Nolan resigning, and Rep. Collin Peterson's 7th District seat in West-Central Minnesota isn't a certain Democratic win.

Dr. Lee M. Miringoff, of the Marist College Institute for Public Opinion, told NBC that Democratic leads in Minnesota are being boosted by female voters and white voters with college degrees.

Independents still slightly lean Republican in Minnesota, by a single percentage point.

Next Up

Karl-Anthony Towns

X-rays negative after Karl-Anthony Towns takes scary fall

Towns crashed hard to the ground late in the game Wednesday night.

Minneapolis police

2 more homicides push Minneapolis closer to record set in 1995

The deadly shootings happened on the city's North Side Wednesday night.

Karl-Anthony Towns

KAT sets a franchise record, leaves early in loss to Wizards

Towns fell on his back in the final minutes of a loss in Washington.

Flickr - police lights squad siren - Edward Kimmel

Man shot by police in Forest Lake dies from injuries

It was one of two police shootings in the Twin Cities on the same day, both of which proved fatal.

Dylan Bundy

Report: Twins agree to deal with Dylan Bundy

The Twins signed the right-hander with a lockout imminent.

Flickr - face masks covid pole - Ivan Radic

'Everyone should really be masking up' in public, Malcolm says

The health commissioner said residents have gotten "a little bit lax" with some protective measures.

Byron Buxton

Byron Buxton believes he's the best player in baseball

"Nobody [does] the things that I do. I know that."

unsplash medical marijuana

Edibles coming to Minnesota's medical marijuana program

MDH also announced it will not add anxiety as qualifying condition.

plow, snowplow, snow

Plowable snow possible this weekend in Minnesota

Up to half a foot of snow could fall within the heaviest band.

Best Buy - jjbers, Flickr

Police reveal new details about 'coordinated' Best Buy thefts

A large group stole thousands of dollars in merchandise from three Twin Cities Best Buy stores.

Seven Points exterior - 2

New tenant revealed for former Libertine spot in Uptown

The space will combine playful art offerings with a restaurant.


Screen Shot 2019-10-11 at 7.01.24 AM

Star Tribune poll spells bad news for President Trump in Minnesota

The president had vowed to win Minnesota in his most recent rally.

What to know about President Trump's visit to Minnesota

The president will be in Rochester this afternoon.

Trump biden

Fox News poll of Minnesota shows Biden with large lead over Trump

Gov. Tim Walz also has a large approval rating, while most Minnesotans show support for face mask wearing.

What Donald Trump said about Minnesota during his rally

The president spoke to a packed house at the Amsoil Arena in Duluth.

Trump biden

New poll shows Biden with a smaller lead over Trump in Minnesota

It comes just days after a Fox News poll showing Biden leading by 13 points.

Early voting is almost at 2016 levels in Minnesota

This is highly unusual for a non-presidential election.