Skip to main content

Playoff probabilities don't favor Wild in tightly contested wild-card race

With six games to go, the pressure is mounting.

A 5-1 loss to the Carolina Hurricanes was the opposite of what the Wild needed Saturday night, and to make matters worse the Arizona Coyotes and Colorado Avalanche earned points to keep the wild-card race extremely tight. 

Colorado topped Chicago for two points to supplant the Wild from the last wild-card spot, and the Coyotes lost in overtime in New Jersey to earn a point. 

Wild Card standings entering play Sunday:

  1. Dallas - 82 points
  2. Colorado - 80 points
  3. Minnesota - 79 points
  4. Arizona - 79 points
  5. Chicago - 74 points

Adding to the stress level is that Minnesota has just six games remaining whereas Dallas, Colorado and Arizona each have seven games, which is effectively two points sitting on the table, up for grabs for each of them. 

According to Hockey Reference playoff probabilities, the Wild has a 19.1 percent chance to make the playoffs. The others: 

  • Dallas - 86.0 percent
  • Colorado - 59.2 percent
  • Arizona - 32.4 percent

Sunday is another huge day in the playoff chase. Arizona plays the New York Islanders at 2 p.m. and Colorado is in Chicago for a 6 p.m. puck drop. Dallas and Minnesota are idle. 

The Wild hosts Nashville on Monday and then gets three days off before the final five games are played in a sprint of nine days, and all of them are against high-end competition. 

  • Mar. 29 - at Vegas (90 points)
  • Mar. 31 - at Arizona (79 points)
  • Apr. 2 - vs. Winnipeg (94 points)
  • Apr. 4 - vs. Boston (101 points)
  • Apr. 6 - at Dallas (82 points)

Fortunately, Colorado and Arizona don't have easy schedules either. Colorado still has to face the Blackhawks, Golden Knights, Coyotes, Blues, Oilers, Jets and Sharks while Arizona will be up against the Islanders, Blackhawks, Avalanche, Wild, Kings, Golden Knights and Jets. 

Next Up

Screen Shot 2022-10-06 at 4.04.40 PM

Ramen bar announced for upcoming Eat Street Crossing food hall

The restaurant roster is filling up at Eat Street Crossing.

police lights squad car dark - Unsplash

Man dies after being shot during argument in Minneapolis

It's the 70th homicide in Minneapolis this year.

NearNorthEncampment

Minneapolis police, city employees clear out Near North encampment

This comes as colder weather moves through the state.

Screen Shot 2022-10-06 at 4.32.46 PM

New T.J. Maxx to open in the Twin Cities this month

Opening day will kick off with extended hours.

Screen Shot 2022-10-06 at 3.04.24 PM

Former Hennepin County commissioner arrested for DWI

The 61-year-old was being held in Hennepin County Jail as of Thursday morning.

Evie Carshare

Electric carshare network showing growth in Twin Cities

Over 25,000 trips have been logged in a six-month span.

Screen Shot 2022-10-06 at 1.11.01 PM

Popular Apple Valley ice arena could be replaced

A concept plan to transform the ice arena is being considered.

21a171abc8c6a3619739a786eed516a563206c38bec4a972944e80fa213b9ab6

Low river levels bring cancellations for St. Paul-New Orleans Viking cruises

The low water also impacted some barge traffic making its way down the river.

10.6 Tempest Weather Thumbnail

Drought tightens grip as Twin Cities reaches 'extreme' level

By this time last year, drought was fading fast in Minnesota.

Screen Shot 2022-10-06 at 11.23.49 AM

Woman missing since car crash has been found

The 49-year-old is believed to have been driving when the crash happened.

Related

Xcel Energy Center

Wild faces playoff elimination Tuesday night

Minnesota hosts Winnipeg in a must-win game.

Screen Shot 2019-03-26 at 7.35.40 AM

After shutout loss, Wild in 'helpless' position with 5 games to go

Minnesota will be scoreboard watching until they play again on Friday.

Boudreau needs miracle to make good on playoff guarantee

Sunday's loss to Arizona was a backbreaker for the Wild.

Minnesota Wild, Devan Dubnyk

Playoff hopes crushed: Wild need luck in NHL draft lottery

The NHL draft lottery will be held next Tuesday.

Jordan Greenway

Wild fall to Avs amid tight playoff race, trade deadline pressure

The trade deadline is in two weeks and the pressure to win is mounting.

4 games to go, 4 points back: Wild need help in wild-card race

Friday's win over Vegas was big, but Minnesota will need help.

Kaprizov, Wild

Wild, Colorado, Vegas in 3-team race for top spot in West Division

Minnesota is just four points back with five games to go.