Updated: This is what it will take for the Twins to lose the AL Central

The magic number is 7 entering play Thursday.
Publish date:
Mitch Garver

Minnesota lost 3-1 to the White Sox Wednesday night and the Cleveland Indians beat the Tigers 2-1 in 10 innings to trim the Twins' lead in the AL Central to four games. 

Cleveland (89-63) is closer, but it's still going to take a miracle for them to tie or pass the Twins (93-59). Both teams have 10 games remaining, and it's still going to take a near-miracle for the Twins to lose the division. 

The magic number is still 7, which is any combination of Twins wins and Indians losses. Here's a really simple way to look at it. 

If the Twins go 0-10, the Indians have to go at least 4-6 to tie, or 5-5 to win. 

If the Twins go 1-9, the Indians have to go at least 5-5 to tie, or 6-4 to win. 

If the Twins go 2-8, the Indians have to go at least 6-4 to tie, or 7-3 to win. 

If the Twins go 3-7, the Indians have to go at least 7-3 to tie, or 8-2 to win. 

If the Twins go 4-6, the Indians have to go at least 8-2 to tie, or 9-1 to win. 

If the Twins go 5-5, the Indians have to go at least 9-1 to tie, or 10-0 to win. 

If the Twins go 6-4, the Indians have to go 10-0 to tie. They can't win. 

If the Twins go 7-3, the Indians cannot tie nor win the division. 

What's more is that the Twins now finish the season with four games at Target Field against the Royals (Thursday-Sunday), then a six-game road trip against the Tigers and Royals to finish the next next week. 

The Indians have a much tougher final 10 games, with one more against the Tigers Thursday followed by three home games against the desperate Phillies and a six-game road trip against the White Sox and Nationals. 

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