Skip to main content

Where the Twins could finish and possible Wild Card opponents

The regular season wraps up this weekend.
Max Kepler

There are three days left in the MLB regular season and the Twins control their fate as they take a one-game lead in the AL Central into a three-game series against the Cincinnati Reds. 

To win the AL Central, the Twins simply need to finish ahead of the White Sox. A tie between the two clubs would go to Chicago due to a better head-to-head record against Minnesota, but the Twins are in the driver's seat and could land anywhere from the No. 1 seed to the No. 4 seed in the playoffs, though the second or third seed is most likely. 

How the Twins get the #1 seed: The Rays have a two-game lead on the Twins, so Minnesota will need to sweep the Reds and have the Rays get swept at home by the Phillies. If the Twins and Rays tie for the best record, the tiebreaker would go to the team with the higher winning percentage in its own division, which would be the Rays (27-13 vs. AL East). 

How the Twins get the #2 seed: Minnesota simply needs to hold off the White Sox and win the AL Central while also finishing with a better record than the Oakland Athletics. A tie between the Twins and A's would go to the A's due to them owning a better intra-division record. 

How the Twins get the #3 seed: The only way the Twins get the third seed is if they win the AL Central and finish behind or tied with the A's and Rays. Entering play Friday, Oakland is a half-game behind the Twins. 

How the Twins get the #4 seed: To get the 4 seed, the Twins would need to finish second in the AL Central to the White Sox. Chicago plays a crosstown series against the Cubs this weekend. 

How the Twins get the #7 seed: Finishing 5th is unlikely and Houston is pretty much locked into the 6 seed, but there is a scenario where the Twins get the 7 seed. It's only possible if the Twins finish third in the AL Central behind the White Sox and Cleveland. Entering play Friday, the Twins hold a one-game lead on Chicago and are two games in front of Cleveland. 

If the playoffs started today (Friday), the Twins would be the No. 2 seed and face Cleveland in the best-of-three Wild Card series Tuesday-Thursday next week at Target Field. 

If the Twins get the 3 seed they're all but guaranteed a first-round series at Target Field against the Houston Astros. 

Sign up for our BREAKING NEWS newsletters

If the Twins lose the division and wind up being the 4 seed, they'll likely be staring down a three-game series at Target Field against the Yankees. 

Minnesota's starting rotation for the Wild Card round isn't set in stone, though manager Rocco Baldelli said Thursday that he'll likely go with Kenta Maeda in Game 1, followed by Jose Berrios in Game 2 and Michael Pineda in Game 3. 

"I think it’s what we’re looking at and that’s the way it’s lined up," Baldelli said. "The Thursday off-day kind of forced us into a spot where we’re going to have to make those calls fairly early. Obviously, we’re not going to make any official announcements, but what we’re looking at, it’s going to be difficult to make any changes. We don’t want to make any changes."

Latest forecast from Novak Weather

Next Up


Wild flip the script, dominate Blackhawks

Ryan Hartman scored twice to earn the first game of a back-to-back.

Hopkins Basketball

Hopkins suffers rare loss to No. 1 ranked Sidwell Friends

The Royals held their own in a battle of the nation's best.

argue-wertman booking photos

Charges: 2 teens responsible for violent carjacking spree across Twin Cities

They face a combined 31 felony counts, all tied to carjackings and related crimes.

rep nolan west mn house

MN rep. says he was 'assaulted' at activist group's public meeting

The Republican said a man grabbed his arms and yanked him from the room.

Screen Shot 2022-01-20 at 12.56.52 PM

What were the 'bizarre things' seen in Minnesota's sky?

The mysterious streaks were not UFOs and they weren't pieces of an asteroid.

icicles, freezing weather, cold weather

Booming noises in the night could be frost quakes

The loud sounds are most likely to happen during the middle of the night.

coronavirus, coronavirus test, covid-19

Free COVID testing site to open in St. Paul for 3 weeks

The federal testing site comes as demand for testing remains high.

Reyel Simmons photo 1 - complaint - crop

MN TikToker accused of faking federal agent life pleads guilty

He told his 10,000 followers he was a Homeland Security agent — authorities say it was a lie.


Report: Vikings request second interview with 2 GM candidates

Ryan Poles of the Chiefs and Kwesi Adofo-Mensah of the Browns.

Amaya Battle

Hopkins takes on No. 1 team in the country on ESPNU Friday

The game will feature a pair of top recruits in the Class of 2022.

st. paul federation of educators - teachers

Educators in Minneapolis, St. Paul could strike amid contract negotiations

Teachers and support staff are demanding smaller class sizes, mental health support and better pay.


Twins will start selling tickets for possible Game 163, Wild Card, and ALDS

Based on computer projections, there's a 70 percent chance the Twins make the playoffs.

Mitch Garver

Twins Daily: Contemplating a Twins roster for the Wild Card round

Seth Stohs looks at the realistic possibilities of the 28-man team.

Boston clinches AL East: Twins get Yankees in Tuesday's Wild Card

Outside of gaining some momentum, Sunday's regular season finales are meaningless.

Max Kepler

Latest Twins rumors: Kepler, Berrios, Pineda, Donaldson named in trade talks

How many players with the Twins end up trading by Friday?

Max Kepler

Only 1 team has done what the Twins might do this season

Minnesota is still the statistical favorite to win the division.

Nelson Cruz

Speculation that MLB changed baseballs for playoffs: Did it hurt the Twins?

Minnesota hit four homers in the three games they lost to the Yankees.

In crazy Wild Card race, Twins must prepare for possible Game 163, maybe even 164

10 more wins would force the Angels to go 12-5 down the stretch just to tie the Twins.