It's the middle of April so it goes without saying that snow is possible this time of year in Minnesota. All you have to do is go back a couple of years when the April 14-15 snowstorm hammered southern Minnesota and the Twin Cities to the tune of 1-2 feet of snow to understand the April snow phenomenon here in the bold north.
That type of storm isn't expected this time around, but the National Weather Service is watching the potential for at least a couple to a few inches of snow in northwestern parts of the state Sunday night into Monday.
"A late-season snowfall is possible starting late Sunday night. Initially, precipitation will begin as rain, then transition to snow as colder temperatures wrap around an area of low pressure Monday morning. Impacts to travel are possible Monday into Tuesday," the NWS said Saturday.
Here's a look at the NAM computer model guidance, which shows widespread snow possible in northern Minnesota on Monday.
The highest amounts are most likely in far northwestern Minnesota, where more than three inches – perhaps more than six inches in some areas – will be possible, according to the NWS.
More critical details from the NWS Grand Forks forecast discussion:
As of right now, the region at greatest risk for snowfall accumulations is in the northern Red River Valley and far northwest Minnesota, but this location could move north or south as we get closer to the event given the volatility of this system. How much in the way of accumulating snow we see will depend on how heavy rates are and how much snow melts as it hits the ground. While it may appear when this event is set and done that we got a significant amount of snowfall, it is important to note that this will be over a 2-3 day timespan, so accumulations on surfaces will be less than the total amount of snow we see through the entirety of the event.
Check back for updates as the storm system nears.