Ahead of Hurricane Laura, 'Predecessor Rain Event' could impact Minnesota, Wisconsin

Known as a "PRE," these events happen ahead of a tropical cyclone's track.
Author:
Publish date:
flash flooding

Stock image

We've heard of polar vortex and derecho, but a new weather term is sure to make the rounds in Minnesota and Wisconsin as forecasters are already talking about a Predecessor Rain Event (PRE) later this week. 

"Looking for a different weather topic to learn about to pass some time today while you're working from home? Check out Predecessor Rain Event (PRE). One of these events is possible up here Thursday night as the remnants of [Laura] are heading for southern Missouri," tweeted the Twin Cities office of the National Weather Service. 

Hurricane Laura is expected to hammer the coastlines of Texas and Louisiana in the Wednesday-Thursday timeframe, and while the track of Laura won't come close to Minnesota, a Predecessor Rain Event occurs ahead of the track of a tropical system. 

Subscribe to BMTN's YouTube channel for more MN weather videos

It sounds impressive, and it certainly can be based past Predecessor Rain Events, but there is no guarantee yet as to where the heaviest rain will fall. For now, the Weather Prediction Center (WPC) is monitoring an area of southeast Minnesota eastward into Wisconsin for a slight risk of excessive rainfall, with models hinting at totals in excess of 2.5 inches. 

99ewbg

PREs can and have happened in Minnesota, namely in August 2007 when southeast Minnesota was drenched by a PRE ahead of the remnants of Tropical Storm Erin. In fact, that PRE set the state's 24-hour rainfall record as upwards of 12 inches fell in southeast Minnesota, including the record 15.1 inches one mile south of Hokah in Houston County. 

Screen Shot 2020-08-25 at 7.57.31 AM

The good news this time around is that a PRE associated with Laura is unlikely to produce record rainfall rates in Minnesota. 

"It's not looking likely at this time since we wouldn't have as long of a duration of rainfall as we did with Erin," a spokesperson with the NWS Twin Cities told Bring Me The News. "While heavy rain is certainly possible late Thursday into Friday, we're not expecting anything record-breaking like that at this point."

According to the DNR's Climate Journal, the heaviest rain from that the August 2007 PRE fell during the afternoon and evening of Aug. 18 and into the early morning of Aug. 19, with "all portions of 28 counties" getting at least 4 inches of rain. 

"Six-inch totals were common across the region, and portions of southeastern Minnesota reported astounding rainfall amounts ranging from 8 to 20 inches. The heaviest rainfall reports came from Winona, Fillmore, and Houston counties, where 36-hour totals exceeded 14 inches. The largest multi-day rainfall total reported (through Monday, August 20) was 20.85 inches observed near the town of Houston in northern Houston County."

There were seven deaths tied to the record storm, including major flood damage to communities and hundreds of homes and businesses. 

"Reports of stream flooding, urban flooding, mudslides, and road closures were numerous throughout southern Minnesota," the Climate Journal reads. 

The top pictures are from Brownsville and Hokah, Minnesota, respectively. The bottom two are from Grant County, Wisconsin. 

The top pictures are from Brownsville and Hokah, Minnesota, respectively. The bottom two are from Grant County, Wisconsin. 

Next Up

Kaprizov, Wild

Wild to face Vegas in playoffs; Game 1 Sunday

Game 1 is Sunday afternoon in Las Vegas.

Eric Kendricks

Coller: Do the Vikings have a tough schedule?

Matthew Coller writes a weekly Vikings column for BMTN, with more of his work found at Purple Insider.

Screen Shot 2020-01-02 at 7.54.07 AM

Grand jury indicts 2 with aiding and abetting murder of Minneapolis Realtor

Four people have now been indicted by a grand jury in connection to the 2019 killing of Monique Baugh.

Nelson Cruz

White Sox sweep Twins for first time since 2016

The Twins' offense disappeared in a 4-2 loss on Thursday.

Mike Hughes

Report: Vikings trade Mike Hughes to Kansas City

The Vikings received a 2022 sixth-rounder in exchange for the former first-round pick.

Ambulance hospital emergency

Backup from fatal crash in Stearns County leads to another bad crash

The crash backed up traffic, which led to another crash in which two people were injured.

Gluten free pizza

For The Week: Monster cookies, and a search for the best gluten-free pizza in MN

BMTN food writer Lindsay Guentzel's weekly column aims to make life in the kitchen easier.

Flickr - SIMULIIDAE black fly gnat - D. Sikes

South Twin Cities metro besieged by aggressive gnats

Metropolitan Mosquito Control District has received more than 100 calls in recent days.

Teddy Bridgewater

Teddy Bridgewater criticizes Panthers' practice habits

The former Vikings quarterback was not a fan of his time in Carolina.

Related

flash flooding

Another round of torrential rain, storms possible Monday night

The heaviest rains could fall in east-central Minnesota.

flooding on Interstate 90

Torrential rains cause major flooding in MN, SD, IA, WI

The heavy rain shut down Interstate 90 in southern Minnesota on Thursday.

flooding

List of rainfall totals from Sunday-Monday storms in MN, WI

Bird Island in south-central Minnesota had more than 7 inches of rain.

flash flooding

Twin Cities in flash flood watch with torrential rain likely

Some locations could get up to 5 inches of rain.

Minnesota is getting wetter, mega-rain events increasing

We've had 11 mega-rain events since 1973, eight of them since 2000.

Sartell flooding road

Heavy rain, flooding, severe storms all possible through Thursday

Folks in southern Minnesota could pick up ridiculous rain totals.

Hwy. 93 flooding

Up to 10 inches of rain pummels south-central Minnesota

Areas to the north of Mankato were hit the hardest.