It's officially winter – and soon it'll really start to feel like it with below-zero wind chills and a chance for snow later this week.
A colder and windy Monday will make way for unseasonably warm temperatures on Tuesday afternoon in the Twin Cities.
According to the National Weather Service in the Twin Cities' forecast discussion Monday morning, highs will reach into the 40s Tuesday afternoon.
This will likely be the last time it's over 40 degrees in the Twin Cities until 2021.
Wintry weather will arrive Wednesday with blustery winds and the potential for snow, followed by a bout of cold weather including wind chills below zero for Christmas Eve and Christmas Day (Thursday and Friday, respectively).
There is still quite a bit of uncertainty surrounding how much snow Minnesota will see on Wednesday, so it's unclear if the Twin Cities will get a white Christmas.
The simulated future radar from the European model (see below) continues to go back and forth with each update, going from bringing next to nothing to Minnesota to now showing a few inches falling throughout the state, with heavier amounts closer to Lake Superior.
Models like this will likely continue to wobble for a while longer because the storm system is still over the Pacific Ocean, and models tend to struggle to hone in on more specific details until systems make landfall, according to the National Weather Service (NWS).
The Canadian model is similar to the European model while the American model keeps the southern half of Minnesota completely dry.
After Wednesday, it'll get cold. In its forecast discussion Monday morning, the NWS in Duluth says the area is in for a couple of nights of sub-zero temperatures with some areas getting to 10 below or colder, adding "Perhaps even the reindeer will need coats and hats this year."
The NWS in the Twin Cities says temperatures will "plummet" Wednesday night and Thursday, with wind chills dipping into the teens and 20s below zero. This is rather short-lived though as temperatures will return to the 20s by the weekend, with little to no snow expected.
The NWS notes that the Twin Cities is still above normal for seasonal snowfall this year, despite only getting 0.6 inches of snow this month.