Wednesday into Thursday could be rather precarious on Minnesota roadways as a winter storm is subject to spin through the region, bringing accumulating snow and powerful winds followed by subzero temperatures and dangerous wind chills.
You can get the full storm preview in written form here, but in today's video briefing with meteorologist Sven Sundgaard the focus is on where and when the snow will fall, how much is possible and how frigid it'll get once the storm blows through.
As is always the case, the storm track could change and if it does, the snow amounts will fluctuate depending on where you live.
For now, a winter storm watch has been issued across all of western Minnesota and most of central Minnesota – and the metro area could easily be added before the storm arrives.
Winds will be a big issue with blowing snow in western parts of the state and open areas, while the heaviest accumulations are currently forecast to fall in east-central/northeast Minnesota and northern Wisconsin.
That's what the respected European model and others are forecasting, while the Canadian model's latest run has pulled the heaviest snow a bit further south, which would put the Twin Cities in an area of more accumulation.
"Impressive, but not a model I trust much unless the others agree with it," says Sven, who notes there is a chance the metro ends up getting a "real snow" but that'll remain unclear until more decisive model runs update through the day.
The National Weather Service has so far been rather conservative with snowfall total projections, so we'll have to watch closely to see if this map is boosted or adjusted at all in the next 24 hours.
Novak Weather will have an update Tuesday afternoon. Stay tuned for that.