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Early look at predicted snowfall totals; 2nd storm to hit after Thanksgiving?

Travel could be very difficult Tuesday night and Wednesday.
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snow, driving snow

They just had to go and stick Thanksgiving at the tail end of November this year. Had Turkey Day been last week, the weather would've been fine. But because it's late this year, things are going to be dicy for travelers as a winter storm is forecast to plow through Minnesota Tuesday and Wednesday. 

How big the travel issues are will depend on where the heavy snow falls and when you're traveling. The heaviest snow locations, of course, are subject to change, but as of Monday morning the National Weather Service is suggesting 6+ inches for the Twin Cities metro area and much of southern Minnesota. 

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Here's a look at what the NAM computer model is suggesting for snow totals. 

Screen Shot 2019-11-25 at 7.30.43 AM

Here's the European model's snowfall projection. Again, these are all subject to change. 

Screen Shot 2019-11-25 at 7.29.58 AM

"Snow will develop across southern Minnesota late Tuesday afternoon and spread northeastward across central Minnesota and western Wisconsin Tuesday night," the winter storm watch reads. "The snow may be heavy at times. Snow will end from west to east Wednesday morning, but blowing snow could continue into the afternoon."

Anyone planning to travel Tuesday night through Wednesday morning is advised to "be prepared for conditions, and give yourself plenty of extra time to safely reach your destination," the National Weather Service warns. 

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The weather service hasn't ruled out blizzard conditions, especially in the blizzard-prone areas of western and southern Minnesota. 

Snow is expected to begin in southwestern Minnesota Tuesday afternoon and spread east-northeast, impacting the Twin Cities area by Tuesday evening/night. It's a rather fast system so it could be completely out of Minnesota by midday Wednesday. Here's how the European weather model has it playing out. 

floop-ecmwf_full-2019112500.prateptype_cat_ecmwf.us_mw

The good news is that things dry up for Thanksgiving Day. Black Friday also looks mostly good, but another, possibly stronger storm system, could churn through the region over the weekend. 

"While it is still way too early to get into specifics, confidence is growing that a significant storm system will impact the Upper Mississippi River Valley region for the tail end of the Thanksgiving weekend," the weather service says. 

Take this with a grain a of salt, but here's what the Euro model shows for Saturday-Sunday. This is going to change so just know for now that the weather service is monitoring the potential for another storm

floop-ecmwf_full-2019112500.prateptype_cat_ecmwf.us_mw-2

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