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'Enhanced' risk for severe storms to blast through parts of Minnesota on Tuesday

There's a decent chance damaging winds are associated with storms that go severe.

Confidence continues to increase that a strong line of severe thunderstorms will sweep through parts of Minnesota Tuesday afternoon and night. 

Most of Minnesota is under a slight risk for severe weather, but an area of eastern Minnesota from north of Duluth down to the Twin Cities has been elevated to an enhanced risk for powerful storms. 

SPC

Damaging winds and large hail will be the most likely modes of severe weather, according to the Storm Prediction Center

Computer models have been pretty consistent in developing a bowing line of storms within the enhanced risk area, as evidenced in the 06Z NAM 3KM model (may not load in all browsers). 

nam3km_mslp_pcpn_frzn_ncus_fh11-24

The 8 a.m. HRRR model run shows potential for a clustering of storms to move through the same general area, with storms initiating early to mid-afternoon and diving southeast through the evening hours. 

hrrr_ref_frzn_ncus_fh5-21

The Twin Cities office of the National Weather Service says the severe threat will exist from 2 p.m. until about 9 p.m. 

Bottom line: Storms could get quite feisty today and cause damage, so be aware of watches and warnings in your county and be sure to sign up for our free BREAKING WEATHER newsletter

We'll update the Weather MN blog if/when a severe thunderstorm watch is issued. 

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