Feb. 2 Novak Weather: Boom or bust with Thursday snow?

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All eyes are on Thursday as a winter storm may or may not bring impactful weather to the Twin Cities and parts of eastern Minnesota. 

Novak Weather says the metro on the edge of the accumulating snow zone, which makes forecasting accurate snow amounts very challenging. 

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According to the National Weather Service, how much snow eastern parts of Minnesota get will depend on how fast the storm develops. If it intensifies sooner than later, then a model like the NAM might be correct with bringing significant snow to parts of Minnesota and Wisconsin. 

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If the storm takes longer to intensify, then the European and American models may be more in line by predicting just 1-3 inches where snow falls in Minnesota. Clearly, the models are predicting major differences for the Twin Cities, which is to be expected since the sharp cutoff line is currently projected to be right around the metro. 

Snowfall estimates from the American model. 

Snowfall estimates from the American model. 

There should be a little more clarity as models continue to update over the next 24 hours, so check back for updates. 

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