Skip to main content

High risk for extreme rain, flash flooding in southeast Minnesota

8 or more inches of rain could fall in some locations.

Extreme rainfall amounts are becoming more and more likely across portions of southern and southeast Minnesota for the rest of Tuesday into early Wednesday morning. 

The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) has upgraded the moderate risk that was in place to a high risk, meaning they are very confident that totals of 5 inches or more will fall in the high risk area. 

This in turn increases the risk of flash flooding in southeast Minnesota, where the ground is already saturated and rivers are experiencing extremely high water levels.

Areas shaded in pink are high risk, while locations shaded in red are under a moderate risk warning.

Here's another map showing cities within the high risk zone. The majority of the Twin Cities area is expected to narrowly miss the worst of the intense rain. 

Computer models are all in agreement that a long period of intense rain will occur in the high risk area, the WPC says. Multiple models are showing 60-90 percent probabilities for 5+ inches of rain, and 30-40 percent probabilities of 8+ inches isolated locations. 

All locations in the moderate and high risk zones should anticipate 3-6 inches of rain, with rainfall rates falling at 1-2 inches per hour this afternoon and evening before the storm system pushes into Wisconsin after midnight. 

Here's a look at a simulated future radar run, which shows a good projection of the expected heavy rain to fall in the same areas repeatedly after 3 p.m. 

hrrr_ref_frzn_ncus_fh2-14

Next Up

Screen Shot 2022-11-29 at 7.26.15 AM

Multiple crashes, spinouts in Twin Cities as snow falls Tuesday morning

The metro could get up to six inches of snow throughout the day.

Screen Shot 2022-11-28 at 5.39.25 PM

Couple critically injured in Kanabec County home attack identified

Jeff and Becky Ponto were found critically injured in their home Sunday morning.

police tape

Assault charges filed against Red Wing man shot by deputy

The reportedly suicidal man crashed his van into a power pole before he allegedly began chasing a deputy at the scene.

Winter scene snow storm snowfall highway driving traffic - Joe Nelson Feb 2022 4

Winter storm warning for Twin Cities: 6+ inches possible

The heaviest snow could move through the Twin Cities.

police lights

Carver man charged after standoff with police in Prior Lake

The man had been fleeing from police when he allegedly broke into a home and the standoff ensued.

ambulance

41-year-old Sherburne County man killed after crashing car into ditch

The crash occurred Sunday night in Palmer Township.

Screen Shot 2022-11-28 at 4.01.10 PM

Around 200 rescued after ice breaks free on Upper Red Lake

Red Lake — both Upper and Lower — is the largest freshwater lake in the state.

Screen Shot 2022-11-28 at 9.38.30 AM

St. Paul featured on Hallmark Channel's 'Christmas Cam' livestream

Downtown's dazzling display can be viewed from anywhere in the world.

JamborMugshot

Charges: Drunk driver almost struck Bemidji parade spectators

The man told police he was trying to attend the parade himself.

6

The SCHEELS Experience

Whether looking for reliable hunting and fishing gear or new clothing and shoes, Eden Prairie SCHEELS is a one-stop shopping experience for the whole family.

Related

Heavy rain threat increases flash flood potential in SE MN

The Twin Cities should be aware of very heavy rain potential.

flash flooding

Twin Cities in flash flood watch with torrential rain likely

Some locations could get up to 5 inches of rain.

Flooding rains, tornadoes possible in southern Minnesota

Tuesday is setting up to be a wild day in weather.

Flooding rains possible in Twin Cities, southern Minnesota

Up to six inches of rain could fall in some areas.

Excessive rainfall could be problematic in southeast Minnesota

Upwards of 3-5 inches of rain, maybe more, could fall.

Constant rain expected Sunday through Wednesday

Up to 6 inches of rain could fall in some areas.

flooding

Flash flooding as storms dump on Minnesota, Wisconsin

Ridiculous rainfall totals have washed out roads in western Wisconsin.

Flash flooding, severe storms threaten Minnesota again Monday

Rain ends around midday, with stronger storms possible later Monday.