While the Twin Cities is in for a soaking rain Tuesday, locations south and east of the metro could be in for some louder thunderstorm activity as there is a isolated severe threat during the afternoon and evening hours.
"There could be a few strong to severe storms later this afternoon and evening across southeast Minnesota and western Wisconsin. Stay weather aware and have a way to receive watches and warnings," says the Twin Cities office of the National Weather Service.
There is a marginal risk (lower risk) for strong to severe storms from Albert Lea to Rochester, with a slight risk (better chance) in extreme southeast Minnesota and into parts of Iowa and Wisconsin.
"Later today, some of the storms may become strong to severe with large hail, damaging winds and isolated tornadoes," explains the La Crosse office of the National Weather Service, adding a map that shows the best chance for severe storms will be from about 2-6 p.m. in Minnesota.
The HRRR weather model radar simulation shows thunderstorms developing in the early afternoon and moving eastward before exiting the state.