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Large hail could again threaten Minnesota, Wisconsin on Wednesday

Most of the activity is currently forecast to be in Wisconsin.
storm clouds

Another round of strong to severe storms is possible Wednesday, with the National Weather Service in the Twin Cities saying the setup looks to be similar to Monday's severe weather, which produced very large hail and isolated damaging winds. 

In Tuesday's forecast discussion, the NWS Twin Cities gives a broad explanation of what's in the works. 

"A better chance for showers and thunderstorms arrives on Wednesday with another cold front, and unfortunately the setup looks relatively similar to Monday's large hail and damaging wind event, with a slight southward shift."

"The biggest unknown at this point is timing," the weather service adds. 

If you live in and around the metro and got hit by Monday's large hail, do know that the Storm Prediction Center is currently forecasting the best chance for severe storms to be in Wisconsin and far southeast Minnesota. 

Screen Shot 2019-08-06 at 8.07.28 AM

The area shaded in yellow in the map above is where the SPC believes the greatest risk for large hail exists. But all it would take for that yellow area to move over the Twin Cities is the cold front slowing down, which is precisely what happen Sunday into Monday, which pretty much put the Twin Cities in the bullseye for the storms that wound up developing Monday. 

We'll see what happens, but it looks like most of the storm activity will be in Wisconsin. But, you know, the weather is going to do what it wants. 

The latest run of the NAM 3KM computer model (GIF may not load in all browsers) shows some isolated storms in Minnesota Wednesday morning, with the bulk of the storm development Wednesday afternoon in Wisconsin. 

The radar simulation reflective of 3 p.m Tuesday through 10 p.m. Wednesday. This is a simulation of what could happen, not what will happen. 

The radar simulation reflective of 3 p.m Tuesday through 10 p.m. Wednesday. This is a simulation of what could happen, not what will happen. 

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