Latest on chances for Easter weekend snow in parts of Minnesota

Will the Twin Cities make it three Aprils in a row with hefty snowstorms?
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snow

A car in Rochester covered in snow from a storm during winter. 

On Thursday, the Twin Cities office of the National Weather Service said the chances of a spring storm delivering "plowable" snow to its forecast area in Minnesota were "fairly low." On Friday, that's still the case for the Twin Cities, but the chances appear to be growing for areas southeast of the metro. 

"A storm system will affect the region from late Saturday into Monday. Mixed precipitation will change to snow late Sunday into Monday, with plowable accumulations possible, particularly south and east of the Twin Cities," the NWS Twin Cities said Friday morning. 

"There remains uncertainty on the track of the storm, so be sure to monitor forecasts through the weekend." As you can see in the map below, the metro area still has a low chance of seeing plowable snow, but there is a moderate risk just to the south and east. 

Tab2FileL (3)

Here's what the La Crosse office of the National Weather Service, which covers southeast Minnesota, is saying: 

"A storm system looks like it will bring a return to winter as we close out the weekend and begin a new work week. While it does look like much of the area will see accumulating snow, it's too early to pinpoint exactly where and how much. Strong winds could also result in poor visibility for drivers. Monitor forecasts and start thinking about potential impacts to travel."

More from the Twin Cities office: 

"The most significant precipitation still looks to be south/east of the Twin Cities, but some solutions (including the 00Z ECMWF) have trended a bit west into the metro, so things will certainly bear watching."

The 00Z ECMWF simply refers to the overnight update to the European model. Let's run through the models so you get a better idea of what they're showing. 

European model - heavy snow in southeast MN, some in the metro

floop-ecmwf_full-2020041000.prateptype_cat_ecmwf.us_mw

GFS model - most of MN gets missed

floop-gfs-2020041006.prateptype_cat.us_mw

Canadian model - similar to the European model

floop-gdps-2020041000.prateptype.us_mw

NAM model - pushing snow into the metro

floop-nam-2020041006.ref1km_ptype.us_mw

This is definitely worth paying attention to so be sure to follow Bring Me The News for updates as they're provided by the weather service. 

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