Skip to main content

Enhanced threat for severe storms shoved north, closer to Twin Cities

Powerful storms could be ongoing this afternoon and evening.
storm, severe, shelf cloud

11:45 a.m. UPDATE

The Storm Prediction Center has shoved the slight and enhanced risk areas for severe weather to the north, now placing the Twin Cities in a slight risk and much more of southern Minnesota in an enhanced risk. 

Screen Shot 2021-08-26 at 11.42.44 AM

Damaging winds up to about 75 mph will be possible with the line of storms that, as of 11:45 a.m., located along a line from Benson to Marshall and moving east-southeast. A wind gust of 78 mph was measured in Benson, according to the weather service. 

8:30 a.m. original story

A line of strong to severe storms pushing through northern South Dakota Thursday morning is expected to ride a boundary east-southeast through southern Minnesota and pose a threat for torrential rains and damaging winds. 

But just how the storm system evolves as it arrives and blasts through southern Minnesota remains a bit of a mystery. The National Weather Service (NWS Twin Cities) believes there are three scenarios that could unfold.  

  1. "A strong, lengthy bow echo, capable of producing large hail and possible widespread damaging winds, plows through."
  2. "A more compact bow echo; still be capable of producing wind and hail, though likely not as widespread."
  3. "An area/cluster of scattered showers and strong thunderstorms."

Weather is sponsored by All Energy Solar: get a free installation quote now!

A severe thunderstorm watch is already in place across southwestern Minnesota until 3 p.m., where scattered severe winds up to 75 mph are possible. 

The HRRR computer model would suggest a smaller-scale bow echo that packs a significant punch in far southern Minnesota and northern Iowa. 


The NAM computer model projects a strong, lengthy bow echo (scenario 1). 


Both solutions show the most severe impacts in far southern Minnesota and northern Iowa, though this is a developing storm situation that will require monitoring as the day progresses. 

In terms of timing, it's likely that the storms will move into western Minnesota by midday and then strengthen as they slide across south-central Minnesota and continue moving into a potentially favorable environment for damaging winds, large hail and possibly a tornado or two, the weather service says

One way or another, it's going to rain a lot in the southern half of Minnesota now through Saturday. The NWS is forecast upwards of 4 inches of rain in some areas, also updating its forecast to call for 2-4 inches in the Twin Cities over the next 48 hours. 

Tab2FileL (24)

After the morning/midday storms plow through Minnesota, there could be a short break before more showers and storms move through. Storms that develop Friday could be severe, namely across southeastern Minnesota. 

Minnesota gets a short break Saturday before another chance of severe storms arrives Sunday. In fact, the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) already has a slice of the state, including the Twin Cities, in a slight risk for severe weather on Sunday. 

It'll be a day worth monitoring as the SPC is suggesting potential for large hail, damaging winds and tornadoes. 

Sunday's severe weather outlook. 

Sunday's severe weather outlook. 

Next Up

Screen Shot 2022-05-24 at 5.21.04 PM

Ex-South St. Paul coach dies by suicide 2 days before sentencing

Matthew McCollister was to be sentenced for fraud in federal court on Wednesday.


Minnesota 'glampground' named one of 10 best in U.S.

In Nevis, Minnesota, campers can stay in a refurbished 1905 train car.

Screen Shot 2022-01-28 at 9.04.12 AM

Two men charged over terrifying armed robbery at Newport apartment

They shot the woman who lives in the apartment in the abdomen, and put a gun to a man's head.

Minneapolis police

Minneapolis 2-year-old identified in suspicious death case

The cause of death has not yet been revealed due to an ongoing investigation.

Arianna Vos

Victim of wrong-way driver crash ID'd as Hutchinson 19-year-old

Three women, ages 19, 20 and 20, were in the vehicle struck by a wrong-way driver early Sunday morning.

Julissa Thaler

Eli Hart killing: Police investigating multiple crime scenes

An announcement Tuesday confirmed potential crime scenes in Mound and Minnetrista.

SEIU Healthcare Minnesota strike.

Twin Cities mental health workers gather for 1-day strike

More than 400 mental health workers are participating in the unionized strike on Tuesday.

Bloomington Fire

HAZMAT team at Bloomington hotel following chemical spill in pool

The fire department said two hotel employees are being evaluated by paramedics.

Screen Shot 2022-03-24 at 9.21.32 AM

Big Brothers Big Sisters Twin Cities gets $6M of Mackenzie Scott donation

The donation is the largest the organization has ever seen from a single individual.

Hennepin Avenue S.

Minneapolis accused of backtracking on 24/7 bus lanes for Hennepin Ave.

The Minneapolis City Council is set to vote on Thursday.

Pexels - face mask covid holding

Duluth brings back masking in city buildings amid COVID surge

Duluth, in one of the state's current COVID hotspots, has brought back a mask requirement in city buildings.


Severe storms threaten southern Minnesota on Saturday

Storms are expected to fire up in southwest Minnesota by early afternoon.

storm, severe weather, shelf cloud

Some storms could pack a punch Sunday afternoon

Widespread severe weather is not expected, but some storms could get feisty.

storm, radar, severe weather

NWS: Large hail, damaging winds, tornadoes possible Thursday

Storms will have plenty of energy to work with on Thursday afternoon and evening.

Enhanced risk of severe storms forecast to blast through MN

Storms could reach the Twin Cities before midnight.

storm clouds

Severe storms possible around Twin Cities Tuesday afternoon

Storms are expected to increase in coverage Tuesday afternoon.

storm, shelf cloud, severe weather

Morning storms prompt severe storm watch in southeast MN

Will storms redevelop Wednesday afternoon?

storm, severe weather

Severe weather Thursday: Here's what the NWS is saying

If storms can get going during daylight hours, they might be nasty.