Novak Weather: Pattern change coming, Halloween forecast

Halloween is looking rather nice.
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October started out great and then sent Minnesota upside down with a week of storm systems that brought snow and cold rain to the state, and now the entire area is in a deep freeze to start this week. 

Anyone already tired of wintry weather? We'll have to deal with it again on Tuesday before a warming trend leads us back to our yards where we'll rake and bag leaves like there is no tomorrow. 

"I'm talking about temperatures, probably at the surface, that are going to be 10-20 degrees above average as we get into the first week or two of November," says Novak Weather. 

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The Halloween forecast looks pretty good for a Saturday, with highs around 50. The big question is how many people will be taking part in trick-or-treating, as the Centers for Disease Control and the Minnesota Department of Health are not promoting it as a safeguard against COVID-19. 

But before you are slinging candy through a tube to kids who do go out trick-or-treating, you'll have to endure some potential record-cold temps on Tuesday morning. 

"Tonight’s low temps could dip into the teens for the first time this season (at MSP)," tweeted meteorologist Sven Sundgaard. "If we fall below 19, it will be the coldest since Feb. 29. Record lows this time of year generally in the mid teens. This kind of cold is more than 3 weeks ahead of normal." 

Temps in the 40s Wednesday-Friday will be a welcomed boost, and Saturday really does look like the best day of the week. 

"After a cold start, warmer weather will arrive mid to late next week. No measurable precipitation is forecast and we should see mostly sunny skies," the weather service says. "This will lead to ideal melting conditions for snow melt. Confidence is increasing that highs will be in the lower 50s Saturday for Halloween."

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Here's a look at the European computer model guidance, showing temperatures reaching around 50 in the Twin Cities on Saturday, followed by hints of 60s by the election day next week. 

floop-ecmwf_full-2020102612.sfct.us_mw

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