NWS still watching potential for winter storm to impact parts of southern MN Tuesday night

Refined details are expected later in the weekend.
Author:
Publish date:

Pre-Thanksgiving snow? The National Weather Service says confidence is increasing for parts of southern Minnesota to pick up some snow Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. 

"It still looks like southern Minnesota and parts of Wisconsin could see some snow Tuesday night. There is quite a bit of uncertainty of where, or how much snow will fall, because the storm track continues to shift," the Twin Cities office of the NWS says, urging people to "check back for forecast updates over the weekend."

Determining specific snow amounts at this point is impossible, the weather service says

1

Here's more from the National Weather Service office out of La Crosse, Wisconsin: 

"Planning Thanksgiving travel Tuesday and Wednesday? You'll really want to keep a close eye on the weather forecast the next few days as the possibility exists for a winter storm across portions of the area. Right now, it remains too early to determine exactly which, if any, areas will receive wintry precipitation but should snow occur, hazardous travel could quickly develop by Tuesday night."

NWS La Crosse meteorologists agree that the storm track and potency of the storm is "HIGHLY LIKELY" to change between now and when the low pressure system actually arrives. 

Sign up to receive BREAKING WEATHER newsletters

Model runs have been all over the map. Earlier this week, model simulations had Minnesota getting pounded. Models then started taking the system through Chicago, or even further east, which indicated the possibility of Minnesota missing the storm by 500-600 miles. Now the models are swing back to the west, teasing Minnesota again. More changes are possible over the next three days. 

Here's the latest (as of 5:30 p.m.) GFS (American) model simulation. 

floop-gfs-2019112318.prateptype_cat.us_mw

Here's the latest European model simulation. 

floop-ecmwf_full-2019112312.prateptype_cat_ecmwf.us_mw

And this is the Canadian model. 

floop-gdps-2019112312.prateptype.us_mw

With more storm track changes possible, you'll definitely want to keep tabs on the forecast as the storm could cause significant travel impacts Tuesday-Wednesday. 

Thanksgiving Day looks to be dry while there is a possibility for another snowmaker to arrive next weekend. That's way too far out for any specifics, the weather service notes. 

Next Up

closed sign

What's open and closed in Minnesota on MLK Day 2021?

Local government offices will generally be closed on Monday.

BMTN 900x450 (8)

Company that falsely promised student loan forgiveness banned from MN

It's also been ordered to repay $11,499 in fees taken from Minnesotans.

covid-19, coronavirus

Here is Minnesota's COVID update for January 15

Hospitalizations are the lowest in Minnesota since October 25.

Sars-Cov-2

Osterholm: B117 COVID strain could become major issue in 6-8 weeks

The B117 variant is believed to be more easily transmitted.

General Mills

General Mills halts donations to Republicans who voted to block Biden win

Two Minnesota representatives voted against certification of results in Arizona and Pennsylvania.

overturned semi truck

Winter storm creates whiteout conditions, closing roads and causing crashes

Roads in southwestern Minnesota were closed early Friday, while slippery conditions elsewhere in the state led to crashes and spinouts.

Hamilton

Hennepin Theatre Trust announces 2021-22 Broadway schedule

Health and safety protocols will be in place based on state guidance.

Tim Walz

Walz to hold press conference on MN State Capitol safety concerns

This comes amid ongoing threats to state Capitols across the country.

Related

snow, slush (submitted photo, ok to use)

Snow this week? NWS monitoring incoming storm system

It could be a wet, slushy and perhaps even snowy end of the work week.

snow

NWS watching potential for snow in Minnesota this weekend

The weather service says the storm track will likely change between now and then.

Winter storm watch: A foot of snow possible in the Twin Cities

The snow is expected to bring heavy snow most of the day Friday.

snow

NWS on the snowstorm potential for Thursday-Friday in Minnesota

Details are coming into focus as the storm gets closer.

snow, snowplow

Twin Cities included in winter storm watch: Heavy snow possible

Heads up, especially if you're traveling Tuesday-Wednesday.

snow, plow

Winter storm watch issued in advance of weekend snow

One way or another, this storm is going to hit hard in southern Minnesota.