Skip to main content

NWS watching potential for accumulating snow in Minnesota this weekend

The weather service says the storm track will likely change between now and then.
snow

The next chance for accumulating snow in Minnesota comes this weekend. The National Weather Service isn't tossing around amounts, although they are hinting at southern Minnesota having the best chance for accumulating snow. 

"Looks like at least some of us will see snow late Saturday night into Sunday. Right now the best chance is across southern Minnesota into Wisconsin," said the Twin Cities office of the National Weather Service on Wednesday morning.  

"The system is still 5 days away, so the storm track will likely shift. For that reason, it is too early for snowfall amounts, but keep checking the forecast, especially if you have travel plans."

Tab2FileL (3)

The system is shaping up to deliver a narrow band of accumulating snow, so amounts could vary greatly over short distances. 

"A few inches will be possible. Somewhere between Central and Southern MN. This will be a rather narrow band with a quick drop off in accumulations on either side (north/south)," the NWS Twin Cities tweeted

Here's a look at the simulated future radar from the European model, which is very similar to the American and Canadian weather models. Again, that storm track will probably change what these simulations look like in the coming days. 

floop-ecmwf_full-2020020500.prateptype_cat_ecmwf.us_mw

For the sake of transparency, the European, American and Canadian models are all showing potential for more than 6 inches in a very narrow band, but the Twin Cities office of the National Weather Service is cooling the jets on those amounts by saying in the forecast discussion that snow amounts will "likely be less than 6 inches." 

The caveat in the discussion: "This could certainly change was we get closer to Sunday." 

Subscribe to receive free BREAKING WEATHER newsletters

At a snowfall ratio of 10:1, here's what the Canadian, American and European models are currently projecting between now and Monday. Again, take this with a grain of salt and understand that the storm track will probably change. 

From left to right, the Canadian, European and American models. These amounts and locations will change between now and Sunday. It also includes any snow that falls Thursday night into Friday. 

From left to right, the Canadian, European and American models. These amounts and locations will change between now and Sunday. It also includes any snow that falls Thursday night into Friday. 

Before the weekend system arrives, hit-and-miss snow showers are possible Thursday night into Friday. The weather service says locations that do see snow probably won't get more than a dusting to an inch. 

After the weekend snow, attention turns to next week when another system could arrive in the middle of the week. It's way too early to start talking about that as anything more than a possibility. 

It's been a rather bland winter snow-wise in the Twin Cities as only three storm systems have produced more than 4 inches, with the biggest coming just before Thanksgiving when 9.2 inches fell at MSP Airport. Other than 4.9 inches falling Jan. 17-18, the metro had a half inch here and there, but that's about it going back to the end of December. 

Next Up

TiresRoadForestLake

Who left tires all over the road in Forest Lake?

Authorities said they would "love to chat" with the people responsible.

AlexanderKueng

Ex-cop Kueng sentenced to 3½ years in prison in killing of George Floyd

Kueng pleaded guilty to aiding and abetting second-degree manslaughter in October.

MinneapolisChildGoFundMe

Effort to support flu-stricken boy who spent his birthday on ventilator

The 10-year-old has been on a ventilator after complications followed.

nbm-conus-ncentus-total_snow_10to1-1170400

What's the latest on next week's major snowstorm system?

The storm is coming. It's just a matter of where the biggest snow totals occur.

Screen Shot 2022-12-09 at 12.01.44 PM

Twin Cities radio host Matt McNeil seriously injured in crash

A post on his social media account says he'll recover.

Screen Shot 2022-12-09 at 12.48.55 PM

Marshalls in downtown Minneapolis to close its doors to shoppers

The company confirmed it will be open until mid-January.

Screen Shot 2022-12-09 at 9.45.35 AM

Boys aged 12 and 14 arrested after fleeing police in stolen car

The two boys were charged with felony fleeing in a motor vehicle and receiving stolen property.

JackknifedSemiI35

Heavy snow brings multiple crashes to southern Minnesota roads

The snowfall is expected to end sometime Friday morning.

Cheetah Pizza

Edina pizza joint quietly closes after 38 years

The restaurant was located at 5125 Edina Industrial Blvd.

internet

Internet providers to get $100M to expand coverage across Minnesota

Gov. Tim Walz says it's the largest single investment in broadband infrastructure in the state's history.

Forest Lake High School

Charges: Man left knife tucked in bathroom stall inside high school

The 42-year-old entered the bathroom Tuesday morning and left 15 minutes later.

Related

Plowable snow in the forecast this weekend in southern MN

The best chance for accumulations is between I-94 and I-90.

plow, snow

NWS: Accumulating snow likely this weekend in Minnesota

Fluffy snow will pile up in some locations on Saturday.

snow, slush (submitted photo, ok to use)

Widespread accumulating snow in parts of MN this weekend?

The National Weather Service in Duluth says things "look good" for accumulating snow.

shoveling snow

Snow chances return Monday in eastern Minnesota, Wisconsin

Nothing major at this point, according to the National Weather Service.

Another coating of snow by Tuesday morning for eastern MN

The weather service is watching potential for a bigger storm Friday-Saturday.

Winter storm to bring heavy snow, ice to MN this weekend

Winter storm watches have been issued for approximately half of the the state.

snow, snowplow

Twin Cities in winter storm watch, heavy snow shifting north?

A winter storm warning is in effect south of the metro.

snow, buses, metro transit

NWS watching potential for weekend winter storm

Pay attention to the forecast this week.