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NWS watching potential for severe weather Saturday in Minnesota

Storms could fire in South Dakota and Nebraska and develop into Minnesota.

The National Weather Service is monitoring the potential for severe storms to erupt in move through Minnesota Saturday night into early Sunday morning. 

There is already a slight risk for the southern half of the state, including the Twin Cities, in the Storm Prediction Center's Day 3 severe weather outlook. 

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Current thinking from NWS Twin Cities is that the system's impacts will begin being felt Friday night as light precipitation moves into southern Minnesota. But the main event will be Saturday night and later as the storm system intensifies and takes advantage of a juicy atmosphere, including dewpoints in the upper 60s to around 70. 

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The Storm Prediction Center expects storms to fire over eastern South Dakota and Nebraska by mid-afternoon Saturday and then develop eastward across Minnesota, Iowa and Wisconsin during the evening. 

The biggest threat at this point appears to be clusters of storms capable of producing damaging wind and hail, though supercells could result in an isolated tornado risk. 

But as the NWS Twin Cities points out in its forecast discussion, the European model essentially stands alone in not projecting much in the way of severe weather. The others models do, so as usual this will be a waiting game. 

The good news is that widespread precipitation is expected, which is very much needed to help alleviate worsening drought conditions in Minnesota. 

Meanwhile, there is a chance for storms to pop Thursday evening in Minnesota. NWS Twin Cities says a few isolated strong or severe storms are possible Thursday afternoon/evening in central and southern Minnesota. 

"For those lucky enough to see a storm a quick half inch to three quarters of an inch is possible," NWS Twin Cities says. 

Here's a look at Thursday's future radar from the HRRR model. If it pans out, the metro area could get some hefty storms after dinner. 

11Z-20210805_HRRRMW_prec_radar-0-18-10-100

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