Publish date:

Post-Christmas winter storm? NWS says there are 3 possible outcomes

Old Man Winter is cooking up a storm, but will it impact Minnesota?
Author:

Snow? Rain? Freezing rain? Thunder? A complete miss, perhaps?

Mother Nature is in cahoots with Old Man Winter and there remains the possibility of a major storm system spinning through the Upper Midwest next week, but it's still too early to know where it'll track and what kind of precipitation – if any – will fall. 

According to the Twin Cities office of the National Weather Service (NWS), there are three possible routes the system will take. As you can see in the graphic below, track B would bring heavy snow and major travel impacts to the Twin Cities and southern Minnesota. Track A would push the snow further north and west, leaving mostly rain for the metro. Track C would be a total miss, which remains possible. 

Screen Shot 2018-12-21 at 7.40.49 AM

So which track is favored? Honestly, nobody really knows just yet and they probably won't until the storm system, which will be over the Pacific Ocean until making landfall in the U.S. on Monday, at which point the computer models the experts use will start honing in on better specifics. 

Regardless, the NWS put this message and graphic on social media Thursday afternoon, suggesting that a blend of tracks A and B are early favorites. 

Bottom line, anyone with travel plans Wednesday-Friday next week need to pay close attention to the forecast no matter where you are in Minnesota. 

As far as how much snow is possible, it's way too early to start talking about that. Of course, the Climate Prediction Center is already suggesting that some locations in the Great Plains and Upper Mississippi Valley could have snowfall measured in feet. 

They don't know where exactly just yet, but they're of the belief that this is a very powerful, moisture-rich system. Here's their words verbatim. 

"Heavy snow is forecast to drift northeastward on the backside of the low for the 26th and 27th from northeastern Colorado through the Upper Mississippi Valley, in association with the deformation zone along the trowal. This snow is likely to be measured in feet in many places, although totals are likely to vary susbtantially within the heavy snow area highlighted on the map dependent upon where mesoscale snowbands set up."

In the meantime, there might be an inch of snow in northern Minnesota Friday night, but travel for the holiday weekend into Christmas Eve and Day looks really great.

Next Up

covid-19 testing site sign

Minnesota to offer free COVID rapid testing at 9 more sites

Three new rapid testing sites opened in Minnesota this week.

5625574757_b30f4efb7e_k

Elvis Costello cancels Mystic Lake show, will play vax-requiring First Ave instead

Those who bought tickets to Mystic Lake will be refunded, and need to buy new tickets.

onions

23 Minnesotans infected with salmonella linked to onions

Four of Minnesota residents were hospitalized. None have died.

Anthony Edwards

Timberwolves smash Rockets in season opener

The Timberwolves showed they have plenty of firepower in a victory over Houston.

Knuth - Nezhad - side by side

Frey challengers Knuth, Nezhad agree to rank each other 2nd

They're urging supporters to do the same on Nov. 2.

Jerome Horton - Sherburne Co. Jail - CROP

Charges: Man lied to buy gun later used by St. Paul mass shooting suspect

He's accused of making false statements during the purchase of a firearm.

Screen Shot 2021-06-04 at 6.30.24 AM

BCA releases investigative file in Winston Smith's shooting death

The file contains 1,000 pages of documents, hundreds of photos and dozens of audio files.

Slice

Fire at Mpls. pizza joint weeks after opening, owners suspect arson

The owners arrived at work Tuesday to find the building on fire.

vaccine, covid

New COVID charts show hospitalization, death rates based on vaccine status

The unvaccinated are far more likely than the fully vaccinated to become hospitalized or die.

Related

Update on possible winter storm over Thanksgiving weekend

The storm is still over the Pacific Ocean so it's still too early to give an exact forecast.

Winter storm could dump heavy snow on MN this weekend

The last big storm went south. This one is more likely to hit parts of Minnesota.

Winter storm warning issued with 12+ inches of snow possible

The heavy snow will likely miss the Twin Cities by 50-80 miles.

snow, plow

Winter storm watch issued in advance of weekend snow

One way or another, this storm is going to hit hard in southern Minnesota.

snow, snowplow

Twin Cities added to winter storm warning: Snow totals rising

It's been a yo-yo of a forecast from a difficult to predict winter storm.

Twin Cities added to winter storm watch

Will this be a repeat of last year's April snowstorm?

snow, buses, metro transit

NWS watching potential for weekend winter storm

Pay attention to the forecast this week.