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Rain to snow late Wednesday into Thursday; active pattern by Thanksgiving?

Some places could get enough snow to bust out the shovels and plows.
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snow, slush (submitted photo, ok to use)

There are two chances for rain and snow in Minnesota during the work week, with the first nuisance system moving through Monday night. Nothing major, but an inch or so of snow is possible north of Interstate 94, while areas to the south, including the metro area, are forecast to get rain. 

"We'll see another light mix of rain and snow late this afternoon and tonight, with a stronger system impacting the region Wednesday night through Thursday," the National Weather Service in the Twin Cities said. "This will be a warm system initially, with rain expected to change to snow."

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More from the forecast discussion issued Monday morning by the Twin Cities office of the NWS. 

"Given how warm the airmass will be initially, precip will start out as rain, but as cold air starts to get pulled down from the northwest Wednesday night, we'll see that rain change to snow. How quickly that transition happens will determine amounts, but a large number of GEFS members are showing the potential for upwards of 4 or 5 inches of snow across central MN into northwest WI with this system, with more like 1-3" by the time you get to the Cities."

Nothing earth-shattering but certainly enough to shovel for some and slow travel. Snow amounts could increase if rain changes to snow sooner, and vice versa if rain takes longer to transition to snow. 

Here's a look at the European computer model's simulated future radar for late Wednesday through Thursday. 

floop-ecmwf_full-2019111800.prateptype_cat_ecmwf.us_mw

The weather service also mentions that a more active weather pattern could grip the region by the time Thanksgiving arrives, so if you're traveling for the holiday, pay attention to the forecast before venturing out. 

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