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Rain transitions to snow Saturday night; Election Day rain, snow appears likely

This weekend will be pretty miserable, and Election Day not much better.

Welcome to the first weekend of November in Minnesota, a time of year known for sleet and glancing blows of snow in what Mother Nature likely considers a practice run for bigger storms in the coming weeks and months. 

Will we get a bigger storm early next week, perhaps on Election Day? More on that below, But first, here's what's happening this weekend. 

A cold Saturday rain changes over to snow Saturday night, with up to an inch accumulating in grassy areas across central Minnesota, perhaps even in the Twin Cities metro. 

According to the National Weather Service (NWS), the heaviest snow is expected to fall overnight along the Hwy. 8 corridor in east-central Minnesota and western Wisconsin, with 1-3 inches possible. In all likelihood, any 3-inch totals will be in Wisconsin. 

Temperatures warm Sunday enough to change the snow back to rain, but today will be the rainier day of the two. Regardless, chilly, wet and miserable are all fair descriptions of Sunday's forecast, making it a good day to grab a blanket and watch the Vikings play the Lions. 

Election Day storm

All eyes turn to a stronger storm system that'll work its way from the south up into the Great Lakes Monday and Tuesday, producing a likely severe weather outbreak in the southeastern U.S. on election day.

This in turn could bring cold rain with a chance for accumulating snow in Minnesota. 

The million dollar question is if it'll be cold enough for snow in the Twin Cities. It's still too early to say for sure, but the odds favor precipitation beginning as rain before transitioning to a rain/snow mix. 

"However, if the system slows and colder air filters in a bit faster we could see some accumulating snow on the western edge as it moves through," says the forecast discussion from the NWS Twin Cities

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Snow is more likely in the Northland, where the NWS forecast calls for a dusting up to several inches of snow, with the higher totals in the Arrowhead of Minnesota. 

The storm needs to be watched closely as it's still 3-4 days out, leaving plenty of room for it to speed up, slow down, strengthen or weaken, all of which will play a huge role in what happens in Minnesota. 

Regardless, here's a look at the simulated future radar from today through Wednesday morning. Green means rain, blue indicates snow. 

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_ncus_fh6-96 (1)

The coldest air of the season will sprint in behind the election day storm with highs Wednesday in the 30s. It'll stay that way through next weekend, and we might not hit 30 a couple of days next week. Lows will also dip into the lower 20s and teens across the state. 

KMSP_2018110311_blend_min_max

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