The entire western half of Minnesota is covered by severe thunderstorm watches as storms are expected to intensify and move east-northeast Friday afternoon and evening.
Whether the storms maintain their strength as they cross into eastern parts of Minnesota is to be determined, but where the severe thunderstorm watches are in place is where storms could spawn isolated tornadoes, drop large hail and produce damaging winds up to 70 mph.
According to the National Weather Service, the situation is fairly simple. "Bottom line: severe threat greatest in western Minnesota and could last into parts of eastern Minnesota depending on the evolution of the storms."
As meteorologist Sven Sundgaard says, any storms that impact the metro area won't be until 8-9 p.m., perhaps later.
The latest HRRR model shows storms two clusters of storms, perhaps splitting the metro later Friday night. These models update hourly and are subject to change, but the point is that anywhere is Minnesota could see a severe storm.