It could wind up being a stormy Father's Day for some in the southern half of Minnesota, including the Twin Cities in the latter hours of the day.
Storms could fire up during the mid-afternoon hours and spread eastward, with the best chance for thunderstorms reaching severe levels in western and southern Minnesota.
The majority of the metro area on the edge of the slight risk area, meaning severe storms are possible, though the chances are a little better the further west and southwest you go.
Tom Novak of Novak Weather has highlighted a slightly different area of greatest risk, which extends from northern Iowa into south-central and southeast Minnesota, including Albert Lea and Rochester. The metro is again on the northern fringe of the risk area.
"The mode looks to be clusters of storms, potentially organizing into bowing segments, capable of producing large hail and damaging winds this afternoon and evening over mainly western into southern MN," according to the Twin Cities office of the National Weather Service.
While damaging winds and large hail are the primary hazards with storms that go severe, a tornado or two can't be ruled out completely, the weather service said.
The 8 a.m. radar simulation from the HRRR computer model – a short-term forecast model used by meteorologists – shows storms developing between 2-4 p.m. in southwest Minnesota and advancing east, reaching eastern parts of the state between 5-10 p.m.
If you have outdoor plans, be sure to have a backup plan and stay weather aware if you're out on the water.