Severe weather remains possible for large area of Minnesota late Monday night

Check the Weather MN blog for an update Monday morning.
Publish date:

It could be a loud Monday night and early Tuesday across a large swath of Minnesota as severe storm potential exists. 

According to the Storm Prediction Center (SPC), storms are expected to develop sometime in the afternoon or evening hours in North Dakota and grow upscale into a bowing line that'll move east-southeast into Minnesota. These storms will have the capability of dropping hail – perhaps very large hail in west-central Minnesota – and producing damaging winds. 

Here's a look at the slight risk for severe weather currently in place for a massive section of Minnesota. 

Tab2FileL (2)

However, there appears to be potential for very large hail and higher chances for severe winds within the yellow-shaded area, specifically for the eastern Dakotas into west-central Minnesota, as evidenced in this map: 

The area within the black/dashed outline could have significant severe weather impacts. 

The area within the black/dashed outline could have significant severe weather impacts. 

Again, as we said in Saturday's edition of the Weather MN blog, the areas that stand the best chance to get severe weather will be much better defined on Monday. In fact, it might not be until Monday midday or mid-afternoon before the most reliable severe zones are outlined. 

Sign up to receiver our BREAKING WEATHER newsletter

Model guidance for this storm system varies. For example, the NAM 3KM model shows storms blasting through North Dakota all day Monday before dissipating as they arrive in west-central Minnesota. As that line of storms falls apart, widespread heavy rain develops in the northern half of the state. 

The Euro model, however, keeps that line of storms from North Dakota going strong through the southern half of Minnesota. 

Here's the aforementioned NAM 3KM model (GIF may not load in all broswers), reflective from 10 a.m. Monday through 10 a.m. Tuesday. Watch how a bowing line of storms moves through North Dakota before dying out in Minnesota. Those storms dying out is the big question. 


At a minimum, widespread heavy rainfall with amounts in excessive of a half inch to an inch are expected throughout much of Minnesota.  

We'll refine the severe weather threat in a Weather MN blog update Monday morning. 

Next Up

Zach Parise

Ghosts of Wild's past force split with Sharks

Brent Burns and Ryan Donato thwarted a comeback attempt by the Wild.

Avante Dickerson

Top-ranked recruit Avante Dickerson decommits from Gopher football

The four-star cornerback was the highest-rated recruit in Minnesota's 2021 class.

u.s. district court minnesota - federal court minneapolis

Limits on in-person court activity extended for 45 days

The statewide order extends current limitations through March 15.

D'Angelo Russell / Minnesota Timberwolves

The Timberwolves need more from D'Angelo Russell

The Wolves haven't gotten what they expected since making a blockbuster trade.

oct. 20 snow crash

Spinouts, crashes still happening after snow leaves MN roads a mess

The snow storm caused at least 208 crashes this weekend.


For The Week: Food tips and tricks to get you through the next 7 days

BMTN's food writer Lindsay Guentzel makes life easier for Minnesotans.

snow, plow

Here's how much snow fell in Saturday's storm in Minnesota

MSP Airport had the highest total as of 7 a.m. Sunday with 5.3 inches.

Screen Shot 2021-01-18 at 3.17.49 PM

No KAT? No D'Lo? No problem as Timberwolves defeat Pelicans

The Timberwolves were without Karl-Anthony Towns and D'Angelo Russell, but still picked up a (SCORE) win.

Screen Shot 2021-01-23 at 7.53.44 PM

Spinouts, crashes across Twin Cities as snow gets heavier

There have been multiple incidents across the metro area.

Mason Branstrator

Family, friends raising funds for teen soccer standout with spinal injury

Mason Branstrator of Duluth was injured in a skiing accident.


Still not done with severe weather? Storms possible Sunday, Monday

Nearing October, the strong storm threat continues.

MN storm chances ramp up Saturday night, Monday night

There's already a slight risk in place for southern Minnesota Monday night.

Weather service monitoring potential for severe storms Friday

It's been a pretty quiet June in terms of severe weather.

Severe storms possible Labor Day in Minnesota

You'll notice much warmer and humid conditions Monday.


Severe storm threat: Damaging winds, large hail possible

Keep an eye on the skies Sunday afternoon and evening.

Tracking isolated storms Monday, more possible late week

You'll have to get unlucky to get hit by a storm on Monday.


Weather with Sven: Tornadoes, very large hail possible Friday

Sven Sundgaard and Novak Weather are closely monitoring the situation.


Here's where severe weather is possible Tuesday in Minnesota

A bigger concern may be storms that hit the same areas, creating a risk for flooding.