Skip to main content

Sunny skies and high temps in the 50s will give southern Minnesota a gorgeous day Thursday, but skies could turn active Friday night and Saturday in parts of Minnesota. 

The National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed much of Minnesota in a slight risk for severe storms Friday, and a very small area of far southwestern Minnesota in an enhanced risk. The biggest threat with Friday's storms will be large hail. 

Tab3FileL (35)

There’s a lot of uncertainty in the forecast with upcoming thunderstorms and timing, according to Bring Me The News meteorologist Sven Sundgaard, who sees Friday night as a difficult setup for any significant storms to continue into Minnesota. If a couple do, they’d produce more of a hail threat. 

Weather is sponsored by All Energy Solar: get a free installation quote now!

If the European weather model's lightning forecast is accurate, it would indicate an intense line of storms firing Friday afternoon in Nebraska and moving northeast, possibly reaching Minnesota. Then another line forms Saturday.


On Saturday the threat shifts and will be largely conditional based on the very simple premise of whether storms can develop. If they do develop, they could be severe and pose a threat for damaging winds, large hail and even tornadoes, according to the SPC.

Tab4FileL (8)

"There is a chance for thunderstorms again on Saturday, and a few storms could be strong to severe. There is still quite a bit of uncertainty with the timing and location of storms so please continue to monitor the forecast, especially if you have outdoor plans," says the Twin Cities office of the National Weather Service. 

But as the SPC notes, storms developing Saturday isn't a sure thing. Not even close, in fact. The weather service says "model output remains strongly suggestive" that a variety of elements will create a "considerable limiting factor to severe thunderstorm development."

Here's what the NAM 3KM models shows for Saturday: afternoon storms developing in western Minnesota and moving east. 


The SPC notes in its Day 3 severe weather outlook that storms that form near the center of the low pressure system – which should be across the eastern Dakotas into Minnesota – could produce clusters of storms and supercells capable of producing tornadoes. 

There will be plenty of warmth Saturday with highs in the 70s and dew points in the 60s. Saturday dew points: 


After a warm and humid Saturday, Minnesota is in for more below normal temps. Record lows are possible Monday through Wednesday, with temps possibly dropping below freezing. The daytime high Sunday will be in the 40s in the Twin Cities, and we might not get out of the 30s on Monday.

Sign up: Subscribe to our BREAKING WEATHER newsletters

Next Up

Sebastion Wolbersen-O’Hara

Police: 15-year-old missing from home north of Twin Cities

Authorities say he may be headed to the metro.


Foundation, the building, the win

Identifying Value Plus Catalysts helps your financial strategy and foundation

boating minnesota lake

25-year-old Hopkins man drowns after falling off boat

The man reportedly fell from the boat while fishing with friends.

mayor frey city minneapolis live stream march 14 2022

What's in Mayor Jacob Frey's budget proposal?

Here's a breakdown of what the Minneapolis mayor is focusing on in 2023-24.

Low, Mimi Parker

Low cancels Europe shows due to Mimi Parker's cancer treatment

The Duluth band says the decision follows 'recent changes' in Parker's treatment.

Screen Shot 2022-08-15 at 11.09.39 AM

Wisconsin man admits to 1992 revenge killings 15 years after boyhood tragedy

The 52-year-old man is in custody 30 years after the 1992 double murder.

Chapel of Love at Mall of America

Chapel of Love set to close at Mall of America after nearly 30 years

The owner cited retirement as the reason for the closure.

Minneapolis police

Man stabbed to death in his Minneapolis home identified

The victim's wife had an order of protection out against the suspect.


storm, radar, severe weather

Severe storms possible next two nights in Minnesota

The better chance for severe weather is Friday night.

storm, severe weather

Threat of severe weather returns to Minnesota for 2 days

Isolated severe storms Wednesday, followed by scattered severe storms Thursday.

storm, radar, severe weather

Monitoring severe storm threat Saturday-Tuesday in Minnesota

The holiday weekend won't be a washout, but multiple rounds of strong and severe storms are possible.

storm, severe

Severe storms in South Dakota could blast into Minnesota Tuesday

Storms are blasting through northern South Dakota Tuesday mid-morning.

Tab2FileL (13)

Numerous severe storms likely in Minnesota Friday night

Watch the video for the full details with meteorologist Sven Sundgaard.

storm, severe weather

Severe storms in MN: Threat exists overnight into Friday morning

The latest model guidance shows a line of storms rolling through the metro around 6 a.m. Friday.


Zeroing in on Tuesday tornado threat in Minnesota, Iowa

Meteorologist Sven Sundgaard is tracking the storm system for Bring Me The News.