It still looks like a sizable chunk of Minnesota will feel the impacts of a winter storm moving through Thursday-Friday.
As you can see in the map below, pretty much everywhere in Minnesota currently has a 50-50 chance at 2+ inches of snow. It's just too soon for the weather service to make more concrete predictions, largely due to storm track uncertainty and questions about when rain will change over to snow.
For the Twin Cities area, although higher snow totals will be possible if rain changes to snow earlier and convective bands of heavier snow set up, the forecast discussion is currently calling for somewhere in the range of 1-3 inches.
Here's a view of the latest European model simulation, showing that rain-mix-snow transition over the course of the day Thursday.
Here are some notes from the NWS about the incoming storm system:
- A broad area of heavy precipitation is likely to impact travel Thursday into Thursday night.
- Winds could be gusting to at least 40 mph, with blowing and drifting snow hazards potentially existing as well.
- As of now, it appears some locations could see a plowable snowfall.
- Areas that are too warm for snow will see periods of moderate rain.
Precipitation is forecast to begin Thursday across southern Minnesota and then spread into west-central Wisconsin Thursday afternoon. Rain will change to snow from west to east Thursday afternoon and night.
The heaviest snow, which will be wet, is expected to fall Thursday night.
We'll keep the updates coming as the weather service releases more details.