Snow forecast changing, higher totals and blizzard conditions in Minnesota

"Needless to say, travel should be postponed or adjusted if possible given the adverse conditions that are expected," the weather service says.
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Old Man Winter must've gassed up the engine because the winter storm taking aim at Minnesota on Wednesday appears to be a bit mightier than the early Tuesday forecasts expects, though this is precisely what BMTN's Novak Weather discussed during a Facebook Live segment on Monday night. 

"I think you're going to see a lot of people jumping on board the snow bandwagon," Novak Weather said Monday evening. "We'll see, anything can happen. This is not a slam dunk." 

Today's weather is sponsored by Grand Casino: Good, clean, sanitized fun!

Well, he was spot-on with that prediction as the weather models are all ramping up snowfall expectations, including in and around the Twin Cities metro area.

In fact, the weather service has now included the metro in a winter storm watch while most of the rest of the state is in a winter storm warning or blizzard warning.

nwshaz.us_nc (2)

Winds 35-45 mph with gusts over 50 mph will be possible in western Minnesota, which coupled with diving temperatures will lead to the air temp falling below zero, with wind chill values much colder. 

The weather service says more widespread blizzard warnings could be issued in due time, so definitely monitor the forecast. 

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"In addition to the wind and cold, at least 1 to 3 inches of snow is expected across the entire area, with amounts of 4 to 6 inches north of Interstate 94 and west of the Saint Croix River," the weather service said at 2:50 p.m. Tuesday. 

The winter storm watch says the Twin Cities can expect 3-5 inches of snow with winds gusting up to 50 mph. But that's quite a bit less snow some computer models are projection, including the European model painting the possibility of 6+ inches in the metro. Check out what Novak Weather is predicting: 

Screen Shot 2020-12-22 at 4.27.54 PM

Here's the European model radar simulation: 

floop-ecmwf_full-2020122212.prateptype_cat_ecmwf.us_nc

The weather service says another concern for Wednesday is the potential for flash freezing of road surfaces due to rapidly falling temps combined with the potential for rain and mixed precipitation in the early going. 

"Needless to say, travel should be postponed or adjusted if possible given the adverse conditions that are expected," the weather service says. 

Oh, and here's a fun closing thought. It was 61 degrees in western Minnesota on Tuesday... 

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