Snow to start in the metro, then rain: 12+ inches of heavy, wet snow possible in Minnesota

The latest on how much snow will fall across Minnesota.
Author:
Publish date:

The winter storm we've been previewing for the last week will arrive in Minnesota today, bringing with it heavy snow, rain, sleet, freezing rain and winds that will make travel very difficult across parts of the state. 

According to the National Weather Service, computer models continue to focus the heaviest snow across western, central and northeast Minnesota where more than a foot could accumulate by the time the storm exits the region on Friday night. Here's a broad outlook for how much snow fall. 

Screen Shot 2018-12-26 at 8.47.13 AM

If you live west/north of a line from Granite Falls to Litchfield to Cambridge you're in for almost all snow, thus the higher expected totals. If you live east of that line in places like the Twin Cities, Hutchinson, Mankato and Red Wing, the snow is expected to change over to rain, thus the lower totals. 

Snow is expected work into southwest Minnesota around midday and by this evening it'll be into the Twin Cities. The metro area could see 3-6 inches of snow before it changes over to rain, at which point the rain will likely wash away quite a bit of it. Because of that, the metro area has been placed in a winter weather advisory. 

Areas expected to get the heavy snow are in a winter storm warning, where 7-12 inches is expected, with pockets of higher totals where the heavier bands develop. 

Here's another map from the National Weather Service with more city-specific snowfall totals. 

snowfall

A slight shift to the south and east of this storm's track could bring heavier snow totals to the Twin Cities, but at this point there's a slim chance of that happening. But it's the weather, so you really never know. 

Here's a look at one computer model's simulated future radar from 12 p.m. Wednesday through 7 p.m. Friday. 

nam3km_ref_frzn_ncus_fh5-60

And here's how likely it is for any given area to receive at last six inches of snow. Clearly, this storm system has it's bullseye on the heart of Minnesota, with Willmar, Alexandria, Brainerd, St. Cloud, Grand Rapids and Duluth getting nailed. There's just under a 30 percent chance of that much snow in the metro area. 

snowProbGE06_Minnesota

Next Up

Antoine Winfield Jr.

Antoine Winfield Jr. says playoff win was "for my pops back in '09"

The son of the Vikings legend did not forget about "Bountygate."

Jared Vanderbilt

Shorthanded Timberwolves fall to Atlanta in Monday matinee

D'Angelo Russell scored 31 points, but didn't have much help.

police lights

Man, 72, critical after possible robbery outside Minneapolis business

The 72-year-old sustained gunshot wounds in the incident.

vaccine

It could take months to vaccinate MN teachers, people 65 and older

"This is going to be harder than going to Ticketmaster and trying to get Bruce Springsteen tickets," Walz said.

Herb Brooks statue

Trump's planned statue garden would include 2 Minnesotans, others with MN links

But there were some notable names absent from the wide-ranging and eclectic list.

k9 zeke

Petition seeks to allow retired Corcoran officer to keep K9 partner

Corcoran's public safety director says if K9 Zeke is donated to the officer it will be a loss for the department.

covid

Here is Minnesota's COVID-19 update for Monday, Jan. 18

The latest update from the Minnesota Department of Health.

Tom Kelly Jr.

Tom Kelly Jr., son of Twins World Series manager, dies at 42

He was a member of the 2001 UST national championship team.

Hennepin County CSI

Police: Man shot in the head by woman in Richfield

It happened in the early hours of Monday.

Related

Bulk of heavy snow arrives for most of MN, rain for the Twin Cities

Another 5-10 inches of snow could fall in parts of Minnesota.

Winter storm warning issued with 12+ inches of snow possible

The heavy snow will likely miss the Twin Cities by 50-80 miles.

Heavy snow to blanket southern MN, Twin Cities this weekend

How much snow will fall? It depends on who you ask.

Winter storm watch: A foot of snow possible in the Twin Cities

The snow is expected to bring heavy snow most of the day Friday.

Heavy snow shatters Twin Cities February record, and more is coming!

As of 6:15 a.m., Marshall had already picked up 6 inches of snow.

Another dose of plowable snow coming north of Twin Cities

Rain for the metro while areas of northern Minnesota get all the snow.

snow, buses, metro transit

Blizzard warnings issued for 'potentially historic' snowstorm

Parts of southwest Minnesota could get 2 feet of snow.

UPDATE: Snow totals boosted, a foot possible in Twin Cities

The heaviest snow is expected to fall Sunday evening through Monday morning.