Storms redevelop Thursday afternoon, tornadoes possible in southern Minnesota

Southeast Minnesota could be in line for some severe storms.
Author:
Publish date:

Heavy showers and thunderstorms are winding down in southeast Minnesota but another round of storms is likely to develop Thursday afternoon. 

The storms that redevelop will present a chance for severe hazards, including large hail, high winds and possible tornadoes. It may not feel like a hot and humid day typically associated with severe weather, but the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) says conditions will be favorable for some nasty storms. 

The storms that stand the best chance to produce tornadoes are the cells that remain isolated. The weather service refers to those supercells as "discrete convection" that has the greatest potential to produce tornadoes and large hail, in addition to localized severe wind gusts. 

The 8 a.m. outlook from the SPC puts southeast Minnesota in the better zone for severe storms, with the Twin Cities in a marginal risk. 

Screen Shot 2019-09-12 at 9.31.20 AM

Here's where the tornado threat will be highest (red shaded area). But anywhere in or around the green- and red-shaded areas could get a rogue tornado today. 

Screen Shot 2019-09-12 at 9.31.36 AM

As the SPC points out, locations to the southeast of the low pressure system moving through the region will have better winds to produce tornadoes. The latest HRRR model from 9 a.m. has the Twin Cities and points south/east in that zone, and the simulated radar shows (GIF may not load in all browsers) some robust redevelopment in those areas this afternoon. 

hrrr_ref_frzn_ncus_fh4-14

The NAM 3KM computer model keeps the low pressure center just south of the metro, which falls in better line with what the SPC's tornado outlooks suggests in keep the strongest storms south of the Twin Cities. 

Regardless, storms could get a bit nasty mid-afternoon in southern Minnesota. 

Sign up: Subscribe to our BREAKING WEATHER newsletters

Next Up

st. paul winter carnival ice sculpture

3 winter festivals in the Twin Cities this weekend

The Great Northern, The City of Lakes Loppet and St. Paul Winter Carnival are all underway.

police lights

Suspect led deputies on 23-mile chase, hid in the woods

The suspect was arrested after a few hours hiding in a wooded area in Meeker County.

Kirk Cousins

Coller: Will the Vikings be the only ones left with QB stability in the NFC?

Matthew Coller writes a weekly Vikings column for BMTN, with more of his work found at Purple Insider.

La Velle E. Neal III

Twins reporter La Velle E. Neal III to become Star Tribune sports columnist

The long-serving Twins reporter has received a promotion.

ambulance

State Patrol investigating fatal crash near Duluth

The crash was reported around 6:15 a.m. Wednesday.

eden prairie police squad car

Carjacking reported outside shopping center in Eden Prairie

One of the suspects reportedly displayed a weapon.

court gavel

8 people charged in Medicaid fraud scheme totaling $860K

Collectively, they're charged with 46 counts of felony theft.

vaping

Minnesota gets mixed grades on its tobacco report card

In Minnesota, the economic cost due to smoking is $2.519 million with 5,910 deaths per year attributed to smoking.

Hardy Wills-Traxler

Charges: Man stabbed his father, set his home on fire

The 25-year-old has been charged with second-degree murder and first-degree arson.

Related

storms, lightning

Severe storms possible in central MN Saturday afternoon

Storms could get going in the early afternoon.

Strong tornadoes, very large hail possible in southern Minnesota

Some really nasty storms could develop around dinner time Tuesday.

Severe storms to redevelop in Minnesota Monday afternoon

The morning storms have pushed through. More are expected to develop.

lightning, storm

Sunday update: Some afternoon storms could be severe in MN

It won't be a severe weather outbreak, but some storms could get feisty.

storm clouds

Severe storms possible around Twin Cities Tuesday afternoon

Storms are expected to increase in coverage Tuesday afternoon.

Hail, wind, tornadoes all possible Tuesday in southern MN

The best chance appears to be down around Rochester.

tornado

Weather with Sven: Tornadoes, very large hail possible Friday

Sven Sundgaard and Novak Weather are closely monitoring the situation.

Rain early, then redeveloping storms could be more intense

The severe threat extends from Mankato to the Twin Cities and southeast.