Strong storms could develop in central Minnesota Friday afternoon

Heads up across central Minnesota on Friday.
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UPDATE 1:45 P.M. 

The latest model runs are showing less potent thunderstorm development in central Minnesota Friday afternoon, but the Storm Prediction Center still has a marginal risk of storms reaching severe levels. 

That said, the tornado threat appears to be diminishing. The main threats with any storms that go severe are gusty winds and hail. 

Original story 8 A.M. 

Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible in central Minnesota Friday afternoon and evening and an isolated tornado or two can't be ruled out. 

That's the word from the National Weather Service (NWS) as the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed a slice of central Minnesota, including the Twin Cities, in a marginal risk for severe storms

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A marginal risk (the lowest of five levels) means there probably won't be widespread severe weather, but the atmosphere is primed enough that storms can flare up and produce isolated damaging winds, large hail and tornadoes. 

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The SPC says it's monitoring the area for a possible upgrade to a slight risk for severe weather. The next update will come at 11:30 a.m. or so, so check back for an update. 

According to the NWS Twin Cities, the tornado threat is greatest (still a low threat) in "the northern Twin Cities metro east toward Ladysmith, Wisconsin." Here's the area of tornado risk – just a 2% chance – being highlighted by the SPC. 

The area shaded in green has the best chance – still a low chance – of storms producing a tornado. 

The area shaded in green has the best chance – still a low chance – of storms producing a tornado. 

Here's a look at the simulated future radar (may not load in all browsers) from the HRRR model. It shows storms firing along and north of Interstate 94 around 3-4 p.m. and sagging east/southeast. 

hrrr_ref_frzn_ncus_fh6-14

The severe threat is through sunset, at which point storms will probably weaken. 

More storms are possible Saturday, but the severe threat shifts further south towards Iowa. 

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