Summer blues on weather maps mean Minnesota could stay stuck in cool pattern

The blue colors on long-range weather maps mean cooler temps are expected.
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It's May 23. A year ago on this day Minnesota began to heat up in full force, with a high temp in the Twin Cities reaching 86 degrees. 

The rest of May 2018 was even hotter, with the exception of one day. 

  • May 24: 92 degrees
  • May 25: 90 degrees
  • May 26: 94 degrees
  • May 27: 91 degrees
  • May 28: 100 degrees
  • May 29: 94 degrees
  • May 30: 74 degrees
  • May 31: 86 degrees

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May 2019 might as well be the exact opposite. While there are some rather enjoyable, comfortable days ahead – including Memorial Day weekend – there isn't an 80-degree day in sight. 

KMSP_2019052313_blend_min_max

That's the 10-day temperature forecast. The mid-range computer models, for example, the American model below (may not appear in some browsers), starts to show signs of temps warming into the low 80s the first week of June. Basically, the GIF cycles through the daytime and overnight temperatures. Dark orange represents temps in the 70s and red means 80s. There are no pink colors anywhere near Minnesota, which means the model isn't predicting any 90-degree days. 

gfs_T2m_ncus_fh12-384

Looking further down the barrel, the long-range outlook from the Climate Prediction Center is calling for below normal temps in June, July and August. 

Screen Shot 2019-05-23 at 10.16.46 AM

Predicting temperature norms three months out isn't a sure bet, but it's an indication that the world has positioned itself in a way that increases Minnesota's chances of being cooler than normal. 

What's cooler than normal during the summer? Anything below the monthly averages: 

  • June average high: 79 degrees
  • July average high: 84 degrees
  • August average high: 81 degrees

Anything below those norms would be considered cooler than normal, so the summer could still easily be, well, perfect. 

And if you're sick of the rain... sorry, the long-range forecast also calls for above normal precipitation June, July and August across the southern two-thirds of Minnesota. 

Screen Shot 2019-05-23 at 10.28.44 AM

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