Skip to main content

The National Weather Service updates its winter forecast for Minnesota

El Nino will have an impact, forecasters say.

The National Weather Service has updated its long-range forecast for the upcoming winter, and it's all good news for Minnesotans who prefer it a little warmer during the winter months. 

The Climate Prediction Center says there's a 40 percent chance Minnesota has above normal temperatures from November through January, and a 40 percent chance they remain warmer than normal through February

The temperature outlook for November-January suggests it could be warmer than normal. 

The temperature outlook for November-January suggests it could be warmer than normal. 

Who do we thank for this kind gesture? El Nino, which forecasters in Duluth say "will influence the Great Lakes by favoring above normal temps & drier than normal precip for the winter."

But here's the thing. We're still subject to blasts of cold air and big storms, with the long-range forecast indicating we'll have equal chances for above normal or below normal snowfall. 

If you ask the Farmers' Almanac you'll get an opposite answer about the upcoming winter. 

The mild, gentle winter forecast by climatologists from the National Weather Service, and by the Old Farmer's Almanac, is "fake news," according to the Farmers' Almanac

Their forecast promises the worst of the extreme cold will come in mid-February, while the snow will be above normal all winter, including some extra oomph in March.

We'll see what happens. In meantime, don't be surprised if you wake up Saturday morning to a quick burst of snow in eastern Minnesota and western Wisconsin.

Not much is expected in terms of accumulation, but the NWS says if it does snow, it could be somewhat intense for a very short period of time.  

Subscribe: Sign up for our daily Bring Me The Newsletters

Next Up

Screen Shot 2023-01-29 at 1.54.31 PM

Missing: Minnesota man last seen in Sioux Falls area

Aaron Pearson, 41, was reported missing on Thursday.

Screen Shot 2023-01-27 at 7.45.44 PM

Protest for Tyre Nichols to be held outside MN Governor’s Mansion

Activists groups say they’ll call on Gov. Tim Walz and the Legislature to implement police reforms.


Minnesota pool contractor banned from industry, must pay $2 million-plus

Minnesota Attorney General Keith Ellison filed suit against Charles Workman and his company, MN Crete Pools, LLC, in August.

Minneapolis police

St. Paul man identified as victim of north Minneapolis homicide

The shooting occurred on the 2200 block of Emerson Avenue North on Wednesday.


Two youths seriously injured after being struck by driver in Bloomington

Police say the boy is in a critical condition, while the girl has severe injuries.

Rosedale Center

Two men sentenced for carjacking in Rosedale Center parking lot

Leon Kismit Bell, 49, and Jack Mitchell Piche, 23, were sentenced in U.S. District Court on Jan. 20.

Screen Shot 2023-01-27 at 3.59.30 PM

Police identify White Bear Lake officer shot while serving warrant

The officer is a six-year veteran of the department.

abortion, planned parenthood

Minnesota Senate passes bill codifying abortion into state law

Having already passed in the House, it will now be sent to Gov. Tim Walz for signing into law.

Screen Shot 2023-01-27 at 7.45.44 PM

Tyre Nichols: Initial police version of events bear similarities to George Floyd killing

Memphis PD said Nichols complained of 'shortness of breath' following 'confrontations' with police, who in reality violently beat him.


Old Farmer's Almanac releases winter forecast for Minnesota

They also believe El Niño will play a role in our weather.


The Farmers' Almanac unveils 2020-21 winter forecast for Minnesota

There appear to be a lot of farmers who enjoy predicting weather and writing almanacs.

snow, snowplow

'Frigid & Snowy': The Farmers' Almanac releases winter forecast

Fun fact: It last snowed in the Twin Cities 110 days ago (as of Aug. 26).


Sven Sundgaard: What La Nina means for Minnesota's 2020-21 winter

While El Nino is a slam dunk for warmer winters, La Nina is less predictable.

Farmers' Almanac predicts brutal winter for Minnesota

The Old Farmer's Almanac and Farmers' Almanac are butting heads about the forecast.