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After a brief break from last week's onslaught of severe weather there could be more severe storms Wednesday and Thursday in Minnesota. 

"A few storms are possible north of I-94 this afternoon and evening, with a better chance at some stronger storms arriving tomorrow by late afternoon," says the National Weather Service in the Twin Cities. 


While the chance for rain and storms is higher north of I-94 on Wednesday afternoon, the severe threat does include the Twin Cities metro area. And some of the models are picking up on that chance, showing potential for storms to move through or very near the Twin Cities. 

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Here's the HRRR model showing what could happened between 1 p.m. and 10 p.m.


The weather service is expecting a few severe storms, but nothing widespread like Minnesota had last week. The main threats with Wednesday's storms are large hail and strong winds. 

Thursday severe weather threat

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The main hazards with Thursday's storms will again be large hail and damaging winds, but the NWS says a tornado or two is possible if supercells can remain isolated before forming a cluster or line segment with other cells. 

The big question for Thursday is how far north the warm front lifts into Minnesota, as locations along and south of the front will have the best chance for severe storms. 

The radar simulations we'll show you below are definitely going to change between now and Thursday afternoon, but they provide a decent look at what might happen. 

HRRR model starting at 3 p.m. Thursday:


NAM 3KM model from 2 p.m. Thursday to noon Friday:


Meteorologist Sven Sundgaard will provide an update later Wednesday, and then of course again on Thursday. Check the Weather MN blog for updates

BMTN Note: Weather events in isolation can't always be pinned on climate change, but the broader trend of increasingly severe weather and record-breaking extremes seen in Minnesota and across the globe can be attributed directly to the rapidly warming climate caused by human activity. The IPCC has warned that Earth is "firmly on track toward an unlivable world," and says greenhouse gas emissions must be halved by 2030 in order to limit warming to 1.5C, which would prevent the most catastrophic effects on humankind. You can read more here.

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