The active weather pattern in Minnesota will continue over the next few days, beginning with potential for nasty storms in northwestern parts of the state on Sunday followed by a threat for flooding rains from the remnants of Tropical Storm Cristobal in eastern areas by Tuesday.
More on the flooding rain threat for the Twin Cities and surrounding areas further down, but let's start with Sunday's enhanced threat for severe storms. According to the Storm Prediction Center, the best chance for severe weather is near the Red River Valley from south of Fargo to north of Grand Forks.
Storms will be capable of delivering severe hail greater than 2 inches in diameter, damaging winds in excess of 75 mph and tornadoes, some of which can be strong. The area in the yellowed/hatched area in the map below is where the strongest tornadoes will have the best chance to develop, according to the SPC.
Monday will feature another threat of severe storms over many of the same areas that could get hit Sunday.
Remnants of Tropical Storm Cristobal
The tropical system currently impacting the Gulf Coast will move north through the heart of the country over the next few days, and it is poised to bring significant moisture to eastern Minnesota and Wisconsin.
"It is extremely odd for Minnesota to be affected by a system like this," said Tom Novak of Novak Weather. Novak believes the area under the greatest risk of seeing significant rainfall totals through Wednesday is just east of the Twin Cities.
Here's the simulated future radar, today through Wednesday. You can see the massive storms exploding in the Dakotas and Minnesota later Sunday, with another round on Monday before the tropical system spins north into the Upper Midwest.
The weather service is forecasting a wide swath of 2-4 inches of rain by Wednesday night, with the best chance of seeing high-end amounts in west-central Wisconsin. That's still a few days out, so the storm track could change things.
Stay tuned and follow Novak Weather on Facebook for updates.