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Twin Cities on the edge of where severe storms could develop Wednesday

Large hail and damaging winds are the main threats.

Storms are expected to develop in parts of Minnesota and Wisconsin Wednesday, and some of the storms will be capable of dropping large hail and producing damaging wind gusts. 

"Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to develop around noon over portions of east central MN and west central WI and move southeast during the afternoon," says the National Weather Service in the Twin Cities. 

"Large hail and damaging winds will be the main threat from the storms. Stay weather aware today and prepare for rapidly changing conditions."

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Here's a look at the areas in the severe risk zones. Locations shaded in yellow are in a slight risk, while the green represents a marginal (lesser) risk for severe weather. 


"It is uncertain how far west convection can develop but at least a few storms will be possible in southern Minnesota," says the Storm Prediction Center in its 7:30 a.m. outlook

That uncertainty can be seen in the latest HRRR model's simulated future radar (GIF might not load in all browsers), as it keeps nearly all of the storm activity in Wisconsin. 

hrrr_ref_frzn_ncus_fh1-12 (2)

Bottom line: Conditions will be ripe for severe storms if they can get going before the cold front slides through Minnesota, which should happen by mid-afternoon, the NWS says. 

It'll be warm with highs in the 80s and muggy with dewpoints in the upper 60s today, but once the cold front moves through, much drier and cooler air will arrive. Thursday and Friday are going to be perfect, with highs in the 70s and dewpoints in the 40s and 50s. That's as good as it gets, not to mention there will be plentiful sunshine. 

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