Warning expands north: Snow totals in Twin Cities could be wide ranging

Locations just miles apart could see big differences in snow totals.
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The National Weather Service has expanded a winter storm warning north and it now includes the far southern Twin Cities metro area, but not Minneapolis and St. Paul, which are in a winter weather advisory. 

Snowfall totals in the metro area and points east and west could be all over the place, with significant numbers in the south metro to just a few inches in the northern counties. 

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Here's how the National Weather Service is breaking it down. 

"A Winter Storm Warning has been issued for late tonight and Sunday for much of southern Minnesota into Wisconsin. The warning is in effect along and south of a line from Montevideo to Hutchinson, to the southern suburbs of the Twin Cities, to Chippewa Falls. Snowfall amounts of 5 to 9 inches are expected in the warning area, and the heaviest snow will fall Sunday morning.

"Meanwhile, farther to the north, a Winter Weather Advisory has been issued for west central Minnesota into east central Minnesota and Wisconsin. The advisory includes Minneapolis and St Paul and northern suburbs. The advisory also covers the area from Morris and Willmar to St Cloud, to New Richmond, Rice Lake and Ladysmith. Totals in this area will vary from two to five inches."

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Counties in the winter storm warning: Blue Earth, Brown, Carver, Dakota, Dodge, Goodhue, Fillmore, Freeborn, Houston, Lac Qui Parle, Le Sueur, McLeod, Mower, Nicollet, Olmsted, Pepin, Redwood, Renville, Rice, Scott, Sibley, Steele, Wabasha, Waseca, Watonwan, Winona, Yellow Medicine.

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The heaviest snow is expected Sunday morning with 1-2 inches per hour possible in the heaviest snow bands. Winds of 15-30 mph in west-central and south-central Minnesota will create reduced visibility on the roads. Winds in the Twin Cities are expected to be between 10-20 mph.

The National Weather Service told BMTN that the computer models could be overdoing how much snow is going to fall, which explains why the weather service isn't forecasting a foot of snow while many of the computer models are showing that possibility. 

Here are some examples, which help show just how quickly the snowfall totals are expected to drop the further north you go in and around the metro. 

18z HRRR model

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18z NAM 3KM model

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18z GFS model

GFS

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