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Warnings, advisories issued as strong snowstorm set to arrive in Minnesota Saturday

How much snow will fall? It depends on who you ask.

We're less than 24 hours from a major winter storm moving through southern Minnesota and the latest projections from the National Weather Service (NWS) show that the storm has taken a slightly more northerly track, meaning more snow is possible in the Twin Cities. 

The newest information from the NWS is the issuance of a winter storm warning in Watonwan, Martin, Faribault, Nobles and Jackson counties in extreme southern Minnesota, where 5-9 inches of snow are expected to fall between 9 a.m. Saturday and Sunday morning. 

The Twin Cities has been placed in a winter weather advisory, where 2-5 inches of snow is expected. 

Counties painted pink are in a winter storm warning while counties are blue are under a winter weather advisory. 

Counties painted pink are in a winter storm warning while counties are blue are under a winter weather advisory. 

There could also be a period of freezing rain at the onset of the precipitation. 

Here's a look at the simulated future radar from Saturday morning through Sunday evening, with precipitation expected to reach the metro by about 2 p.m


Strong winds will accompany the snowfall and create reductions in visibility on roadways, and travel is expected to be dangerous during the brunt of the storm Saturday afternoon and night. 

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How much snow will fall?

Here's a look at what two different computer models are printing out. First, the North American Model's 18z run, which throws down anywhere from 6-12 inches across southern Minnesota, which the NWS in La Crosse isn't buying considering they're suggesting high-end amounts of 4-6 inches. 

NAM 18z

Here's the Global (GFS) model's 12z run, which is similar to the previous model and has the heaviest snow in far southern Minnesota with up to 5-6 inches fall in the metro and very high totals in southern Minnesota, which might be overdone by a bit. 

GFS 12z

AccuWeather forecasts 6-12 inches of snow for far southern Minnesota and anywhere from 1-6 inches in the metro area, with the higher amounts in the south metro. is also moving its snow totals further north, with the metro in line for 1-5 inches and points just south of the Twin Cities in line for 5-8 inches. 

Generally speaking, folks in the north metro might not see nearly as much snow as people do in the south metro. Then again, if the storm shifts just a little bit further north, the entire metro could get a dumping. 

For southwest Minnesota, the Sioux Falls office of the NWS is forecasting anywhere from 4-12 inches of snow, with the higher amounts near the Minnesota-Iowa border. 

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