Way Over Our Heads podcast: Snow chances this week, spring flooding

"Get hit by a winter storm. Breathe. Get hit again. Breathe. Get hit a gain."
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This week's episode of the Way Over Our Heads podcast with Jim du Bois and climatologist Kenny Blumenfeld discusses how all of this winter's snow could impact spring flooding, in addition to previewing how much snow could fall the rest of this week. 

  • 2:40 to 12:14 - How this year's snow could impact spring flooding. 
  • 12:15 to 16:19 - Why snowfall forecasts are so difficult to get right. 
  • 16:20 to - 19:10 - Looking ahead at this week's snow chances.

Blumenfeld expects the first snowstorm this week to take aim at Rochester and the Twin Cities, although the storm track could easily change by the time it arrives Tuesday night. 

"We'll see an accumulating snow," says Blumenfeld. "Basically the southeastern half of Minnesota. We're not looking about a foot or a foot-and-a-half anywhere. I think the system is going to move too quickly. It is going to produce some heavy snowfall. I would imagine another one of these 4-to-7 inches will be a large swath of that and then maybe some elevated amounts of up to 8 or 9 inches."

That's the most certain event of the week. 

"There's a more signifiant, but also more uncertain system staring at us for next weekend. I could BS with everybody. I have no idea what's going to happen with it," Blumenfeld joked, noting that computer models this far out vary greatly in predicting what could come. 

It's been a snowy month, especially in southern Minnesota. The Twin Cities needs about four inches of snow to break the all-time February snow record of 26.5 inches. Here's a day-by-day review of how much snow has fallen at MSP Airport this month. 

  • Feb. 1 - trace
  • Feb. 2 - 0 
  • Feb. 3 - trace
  • Feb. 4 - trace
  • Feb. 5 - 4.1 inches
  • Feb. 6 - 0.4 inches
  • Feb. 7 - 5.9 inches
  • Feb. 8 - 0
  • Feb. 9 - 0 5.9 inches
  • Feb. 10 - 5.9 inches
  • Feb. 11 - 0.1 inches
  • Feb. 12 - 5.5 inches
  • Feb. 13 - trace
  • Feb. 14 - 0.3 inches
  • Feb. 15 - 0
  • Feb. 16 - 0
  • Feb. 17 - 0.4 inches

"Get hit by a winter storm. Breathe. Get hit again. Breathe. Get hit a gain," joked Blumenfeld. 

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