It's going to be a wet Wednesday across Minnesota with the highest precipitation amounts expected to fall across the Twin Cities.
In today's Weather MN blog, brought to you by the good folks at Pet Evolution, the National Weather Service now believes the metro area could get drenched with 2+ inches of rain, while most other locations will get between a half to an inch of water.
"The main threat, which overnight has become a bigger threat than earlier thought, is the flooding/heavy rain potential from now through the afternoon," the NWS Twin Cities says in this morning's forecast discussion.
Here's a look at the HRRR model showing what could happen as storms develop and push through in waves. Note: This GIF only works on some browsers, so if you don't see it, click this link and try it on the Tropical Tidbits website.
Small hail, the size of nickels, was reported early Wednesday morning about 20 miles south of Mankato, and similar reports could be realized in stronger thunderstorms the rest of the day. That said, the severe weather potential is very limited and the Storm Prediction Center has the marginal threat in far southern Minnesota, with a slight risk in the corner of southeast Minnesota.
The main threats if storms do intensify to severe limits in southeast Minnesota is large hail, but there is also potential for a tornado or two, although better parameters exist in northeast Iowa and southwest Wisconsin closer to the center of the low-pressure system.